Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Rios R.
46'
46'
Sub
Olivera M. In: Spinazzola L.
Out: Olivera M.
46'
46'
Sub
Beukema S. In: Politano M.
Out: Beukema S.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Benfica and Napoli finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benfica.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
67%
15%
18%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ High Confidence
- Napoli haven't matched Benfica's recent run of results.
- Benfica are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Champions League 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Benfica Clean Sheet 68%
Napoli Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Benfica | Napoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 20 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.72 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 10, 2025 Champions League
Benfica vs Napoli
2:0
Dec 6, 2016 Champions League
Benfica vs Napoli
1:2
Sep 28, 2016 Champions League
Napoli vs Benfica
4:2
Aug 9, 2013 Club Friendly
Napoli vs Benfica
2:1
Oct 2, 2008 Europa League
Benfica vs Napoli
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Benfica Compare
Top Goalscorer Rios R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barreiro L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Napoli Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Benfica 95 / 100
Napoli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Benfica Napoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Benfica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Benfica scored in 100% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Benfica has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Napoli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Benfica VS Napoli
3.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Benfica
(Home) 16 Sept
AC Milan
0 : 2 Benfica
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
09 Sept
Moreirense
0 : 4 Benfica
05 Sept
Maritimo
0 : 3 Benfica
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Benfica
3 : 1 Gil Vicente
31 Aug
Benfica
2 : 1 Estoril
20 Aug
Benfica
3 : 1 Aarhus
09 Aug
Benfica
2 : 2 Academico Viseu
06 Aug
Benfica
6 : 1 Hearts
Page 1 of 3
Napoli
(Away) 20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Napoli
13 Sept
Napoli
1 : 0 Bologna
09 Sept
Napoli
0 : 1 Arsenal
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2 Napoli
30 Aug
Napoli
1 : 2 Como
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1 Napoli
05 Sept
Inter
3 : 2 Napoli
22 Aug
Genoa
0 : 2 Napoli
17 May
Pisa
0 : 3 Napoli
02 May
Como
0 : 0 Napoli
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
