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Bengaluru FC vs Indian Air Force (New Delhi)

India India

Durand Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kumar V.
58' Event
Singh S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Durand Cup 2023 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bengaluru FC
6%
Draws
4%
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bengaluru FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bengaluru FC have won more games recently than Indian Air Force (New Delhi).
  • Model gives Bengaluru FC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Bengaluru FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bengaluru FC, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Bengaluru FC Clean Sheet 20%
Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bengaluru FC Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
Matches Played 32 18
Wins 14 1
Draws 8 3
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.63 3.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2023 Durand Cup
Bengaluru FC vs Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
1:1
Aug 23, 2022 Durand Cup
Bengaluru FC vs Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bengaluru FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Singh S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Indian Air Force (New Delhi) Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumar V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bengaluru FC 85 / 100
Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bengaluru FC Indian Air Force (New Delhi)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bengaluru FC's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Indian Air Force (New Delhi) conceded in 89% of 18 recent games.

Bengaluru FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bengaluru FC VS Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Bengaluru FC

(Home)
16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2
Bengaluru FC
09 May
Jamshedpur
0 : 1
Bengaluru FC
04 May
Odisha FC
1 : 1
Bengaluru FC
25 Apr
Bengaluru FC
0 : 0
Mumbai City
16 Apr
East Bengal
3 : 3
Bengaluru FC
Page 1 of 7

Indian Air Force (New Delhi)

(Away)
10 Aug
East Bengal
6 : 1
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
03 Aug
Namdhari
4 : 2
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
27 Jul
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
3 : 3
South United
08 Aug
Mohun Bagan
6 : 0
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
02 Aug
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
0 : 2
Downtown Heroes
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1East Bengal32104:27
2Mohun Bagan32017:16
3Bangladesh Army30212:72
4Minerva Punjab30120:31
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mumbai City330012:19
2Mohammedan32019:46
3Jamshedpur31021:113
4Indian Navy30031:70
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gokulam32016:56
2Bengaluru FC31205:35
3Kerala Blasters311110:64
4Indian Air Force (New Delhi)30121:81
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Goa321011:27
2North East United32109:37
3Lajong31022:113
4Downtown Heroes30032:80
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chennaiyin FC33008:29
2Hyderabad31115:44
3Delhi FC30213:42
4Nepal Army30121:71
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Army Red32103:17
2Rajasthan United31112:24
3Bodoland FC31023:43
4Odisha FC31023:43
Promotion - Durand Cup 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams