Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beni Douala vs Bouchegouf

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Abderraouf C.
15' Event
El Amine H.
25' Event
Zerghoun M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Beni Douala advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Beni Douala
25%
Draws
35%
Bouchegouf
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Beni Douala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Beni Douala carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Beni Douala have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Beni Douala, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Beni Douala Clean Sheet 20%
Bouchegouf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beni Douala Bouchegouf
Matches Played 10 2
Wins 5 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 2
Goals Scored 1.3 0
Goals Conceded 1.9 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2016 Algeria Cup
Beni Douala vs Bouchegouf
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beni Douala Compare

Top Goalscorer Abderraouf C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Amine H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Bouchegouf Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beni Douala 31 / 100
Bouchegouf 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beni Douala Bouchegouf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beni Douala Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bouchegouf has conceded goals in 100% of their last 2 outings.

Beni Douala scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Beni Douala stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beni Douala VS Bouchegouf
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Beni Douala

(Home)
26 Dec
ASO Chlef
6 : 1
Beni Douala
30 Dec
Beni Douala
0 : 2
Paradou
18 Dec
Beni Douala
2 : 1
ISC Tlemcen
27 Dec
MC Alger
7 : 1
Beni Douala
17 Dec
Skikda
0 : 4
Beni Douala
Page 1 of 2

Bouchegouf

(Away)
26 Nov
Beni Douala
2 : 0
Bouchegouf
19 Dec
Hussein Dey
5 : 0
Bouchegouf

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
MC Alger 3
OM Arzew 2
Chelghoum 0
Frenda 1
Skikda 2
Guelma 1
Bouchegouf 0
Beni Douala 2
Nasr El Fedjoudj 1
Hadjar 0
Biskra 1
Annaba 2
Rouisset 2
El Milia 1
WAB Tissemsilt 0
Kabylie 5
Tebessa 2
Berrouaghia 1
Bouakeul 0
RC Oued Rhiou 1
Oran 2
Eulma 0
Bouaziz 0
ASO Chlef 6
Saoura 1
Magra 0
ASM Oran 1
Constantine 2
Staoueli 2
El Kerma 1
SCM Oran 0
ES Setif 2
CR Belouizdad 1
Bordj Ghedir 0
Ain Lhadjar 1
US Chaouia 2
USM Blida 2
Bejaia 1
Mahdi 0
Saida 1
Harrach 2
Oued Sly 1
Ain Fakroun 0
Medea 2
CRB Henaya 2
Bechar Djedid 0
Tadjenant 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Hussein Dey 1
MO Bejaia 0
Ghozlane 0
Tighenif 1
Khenchela 1
Oued Smar 0
Oued Fodda 1
Paradou 3
USM Alger 2
Tadamoun Souf 0
Azazga 1
CA Batna 2
RC Relizane 2
Mostaganem 1
RC Kouba 1
Bel Abbes 2
1/16-finals
MC Alger 1
Frenda 0
Skikda 0
Beni Douala 4
Nasr El Fedjoudj 1
Annaba 0
Rouisset 1
Kabylie 2
Tebessa 2
RC Oued Rhiou 1
Oran 1
ASO Chlef 2
Saoura 1
Constantine 0
Staoueli 0
ES Setif 5
CR Belouizdad 2
US Chaouia 1
USM Blida 0
Saida 2
Harrach 2
Medea 1
CRB Henaya 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 3
Hussein Dey 2
Tighenif 0
Khenchela 2
Paradou 3
USM Alger 1
CA Batna 0
RC Relizane 0
Bel Abbes 2
1/8-finals
MC Alger 7
Beni Douala 1
Nasr El Fedjoudj 0
Kabylie 1
Tebessa 4
ASO Chlef 2
Saoura 2
ES Setif 3
CR Belouizdad 2
Saida 1
Harrach 0
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Hussein Dey 1
Paradou 0
USM Alger 0
Bel Abbes 1
Quarter-finals
MC Alger 1
Kabylie 0
Tebessa 0
ES Setif 4
CR Belouizdad 2
Bordj Bou Arreridj 1
Hussein Dey 0
Bel Abbes 4
Semi-finals
MC Alger 2
ES Setif 3
CR Belouizdad 1
Bel Abbes 0
Final
ES Setif 0
CR Belouizdad 1