Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat

Benin

1 - 0

Botswana

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Seakanyeng K.

28'

Roche Y.

Assist: Mounie S.

44'

Ditsele L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Benin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Benin

15%

Draws

26%

Botswana

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Benin come out ahead of Botswana on wins alone.
59% — that's where the model lands on Benin taking it.
Benin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Benin, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Benin Clean Sheet 68%

Botswana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Benin	Botswana
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	6
Draws	6	8
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	0.96	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.43
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations

Benin vs Botswana

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

Botswana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 68 / 100

Botswana 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Benin Botswana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

Botswana let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Benin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Botswana's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Botswana

0.38 Goals Scored 0.5

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75

50% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)

09 Jun

Togo

5 : 1

Benin

05 Jun

Benin

1 : 1

Niger

31 Mar

Guinea

0 : 1

Benin

27 Mar

Benin

1 : 0

Liberia

05 Jan

Egypt

3 : 1

Benin

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Botswana

(Away)

31 Mar

Botswana

1 : 0

Malawi

28 Mar

Botswana

0 : 3

Zimbabwe

30 Dec

Botswana

0 : 3

D.R. Congo

27 Dec

Benin

1 : 0

Botswana

23 Dec

Senegal

3 : 0

Botswana

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