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Benin vs Botswana Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Seakanyeng K.
28' Event
Roche Y.
Assist: Mounie S.
44'
Ditsele L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Benin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Benin
35%
Draws
25%
Botswana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Benin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Benin come out ahead of Botswana on wins alone.
  • 25% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Benin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Benin, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Benin Clean Sheet 27%
Botswana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benin Botswana
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 27, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations
Benin vs Botswana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Botswana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 33 / 100
Botswana 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benin Botswana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botswana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Benin found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Botswana let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Benin went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Botswana
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
Page 1 of 6

Botswana

(Away)
28 Sept
Tunisia
2 : 2
Botswana
24 Sept
Libya
2 : 2
Botswana
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 Dec
Botswana
0 : 3
D.R. Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Mali 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
3 Comoros 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
4 Zambia 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 South Africa 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Angola 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Zimbabwe 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria 3 3 0 0 8:4 9
2 Tunisia 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
3 Tanzania 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
4 Uganda 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 D.R. Congo 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Benin 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Botswana 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Burkina Faso 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Sudan 3 1 0 2 1:5 3
4 Equatorial Guinea 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Cameroon 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
3 Mozambique 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Gabon 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams