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Benin vs Liberia

World World

Friendly International Salle Mohammed V, Casablanca
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Match Events

86' Event
Tosin A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Benin and Liberia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Benin
20%
Draws
29%
Liberia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Benin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Benin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Benin have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Benin Clean Sheet 22%
Liberia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benin Liberia
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.96 1
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Friendly International
Liberia vs Benin
0:0
Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Benin vs Liberia
1:0
Mar 24, 2022 Friendly International
Liberia vs Benin
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tosin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Liberia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 37 / 100
Liberia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benin Liberia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia let in goals in 84% of their last 25 matches.

Benin scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Benin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Liberia
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0
Liberia
05 Jan
Egypt
3 : 1
Benin
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Liberia

(Away)
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
27 Mar
Benin
1 : 0
Liberia
15 Nov
Guinea
2 : 0
Liberia
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