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Benin vs Liberia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Salle Mohammed V, Casablanca
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Tosin A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Benin and Liberia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Benin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Benin
30%
Draws
23%
Liberia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Benin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Benin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Benin are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Benin have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Benin Clean Sheet 20%
Liberia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Benin Liberia
Matches Played 27 25
Wins 10 6
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Friendly International
Liberia vs Benin
0:0
Mar 27, 2026 Friendly International
Benin vs Liberia
1:0
Mar 24, 2022 Friendly International
Liberia vs Benin
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Benin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tosin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Liberia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Benin 36 / 100
Liberia 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Benin Liberia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberia let in goals in 92% of their last 25 matches.

Benin scored in 67% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Benin remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Benin VS Liberia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Benin

(Home)
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Togo
5 : 1
Benin
05 Jun
Benin
1 : 1
Niger
31 Mar
Guinea
0 : 1
Benin
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Liberia

(Away)
29 Sept
Liberia
0 : 1
Mali
25 Sept
Rwanda
3 : 1
Liberia
09 Jun
Liberia
3 : 1
Sierra Leone
06 Jun
Sierra Leone
1 : 0
Liberia
31 Mar
Liberia
2 : 2
Libya
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