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Bentleigh Greens vs St Albans

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Kingston Heath Soccer Complex
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AI Match Summary

Bentleigh Greens play St Albans in the NPL Victoria. It looks like a close match. Recently, Bentleigh Greens averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. St Albans averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. In past meetings, Bentleigh Greens won 3, St Albans won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 1, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Bentleigh Greens and 2.25 for St Albans. This points to a Bentleigh Greens double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bentleigh Greens
21%
Draws
38%
St Albans
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Bentleigh Greens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Bentleigh Greens picked up more points recently compared to St Albans.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
St Albans Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bentleigh Greens St Albans
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs St Albans
2:4
Jun 30, 2023 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Bentleigh Greens
0:2
Mar 31, 2023 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs St Albans
4:1
Jun 17, 2022 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Bentleigh Greens
0:0
Mar 18, 2022 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs St Albans
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bentleigh Greens Compare

Top Goalscorer Oresti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

St Albans Compare

Top Goalscorer Monek J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koek N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens 39 / 100
St Albans 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bentleigh Greens St Albans

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bentleigh Greens or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Bentleigh Greens attacking → ← attacking St Albans

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bentleigh Greens scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

St Albans let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Bentleigh Greens went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

St Albans lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 36
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
3.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Oakleigh Cannons20135243:1844
2Hume City20124440:2440
3Avondale FC20111853:2734
4Preston Lions19122530:1632
5Heidelberg Utd2095633:2632
6South Melbourne20101931:3231
7Melbourne City U211986537:2230
8George Cross2069527:2827
9St Albans2065923:3623
10Dandenong City SC2075826:2722
11Altona Magic20641024:3622
12Bentleigh Greens20441218:4416
13Dandenong Thunder20431322:4315
14Green Gully20241414:4210