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Bentleigh Greens W vs South Melbourne W

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria Women game between Bentleigh Greens W and South Melbourne W finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Melbourne W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bentleigh Greens W
40%
Draws
29%
South Melbourne W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • South Melbourne W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Bentleigh Greens W Clean Sheet 13%
South Melbourne W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bentleigh Greens W South Melbourne W
Matches Played 22 22
Wins 2 11
Draws 2 6
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
South Melbourne W vs Bentleigh Greens W
2:0
Feb 13, 2026 NPL Victoria Women
Bentleigh Greens W vs South Melbourne W
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bentleigh Greens W 31 / 100
South Melbourne W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bentleigh Greens W South Melbourne W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Bentleigh Greens W scored in 64% of their last 22 outings.

Defensive concern: South Melbourne W conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

Bentleigh Greens W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bentleigh Greens W VS South Melbourne W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bentleigh Greens W

(Home)
25 Jul
Bentleigh Greens W
2 : 0
Melbourne City U20 W
18 Jul
Keilor Park W
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens W
10 Jul
Bentleigh Greens W
0 : 3
Avondale FC W
03 Jul
Bentleigh Greens W
0 : 1
Bulleen Lions W
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens W
1 : 1
Alamein FC W
Page 1 of 5

South Melbourne W

(Away)
25 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 2
Bulleen Lions W
18 Jul
Alamein FC W
1 : 1
South Melbourne W
11 Jul
South Melbourne W
1 : 0
Spring Hills W
05 Jul
Boroondara Eagles W
1 : 0
South Melbourne W
27 Jun
South Melbourne W
2 : 2
Box Hill W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Box Hill W22162459:2450
2Essendon Royals W22152563:2447
3Bulleen Lions W22144453:2146
4Avondale FC W22142655:2244
5Boroondara Eagles W22131847:3440
6South Melbourne W22116543:2239
7Alamein FC W22113828:2436
8Spring Hills W22821226:3226
9Melbourne Victory U20 W21821135:4626
10Heidelberg Utd W22651132:4423
11Preston Lions W22651126:4123
12Keilor Park W22651122:3823
13Bentleigh Greens W22221817:748
14Melbourne City U20 W21211820:807
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