Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Berceo vs Arnedo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Alonso J.
45' Event
Andreica M.
75' Event
Martinez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Berceo
15%
Draws
26%
Arnedo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Berceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arnedo lately — more wins on the board than Berceo.
  • Win probability leans Berceo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Berceo Clean Sheet 68%
Arnedo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berceo Arnedo
Matches Played 31 36
Wins 9 20
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.39 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Arnedo
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Berceo
0:1
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Berceo
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Berceo vs Arnedo
0:1
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Arnedo vs Berceo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Alonso J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marquina G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Arnedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Andreica M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berceo 95 / 100
Arnedo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berceo Arnedo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Berceo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Berceo scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Arnedo conceded in 64% of 36 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Berceo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Berceo VS Arnedo
2.17 Goals Scored 1.38
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Berceo

(Home)
20 Sept
Cenicero
2 : 1
Berceo
13 Sept
Berceo
7 : 0
River Ebro
05 Sept
Yague
1 : 2
Berceo
10 May
Autol
2 : 1
Berceo
30 Apr
Berceo
2 : 0
Yague
Page 1 of 7

Arnedo

(Away)
20 Sept
Arnedo
0 : 1
Terrassa
13 Sept
Osasuna B
4 : 1
Arnedo
06 Sept
Arnedo
1 : 4
CE Manresa
29 Aug
Arnedo
2 : 2
Naxara
20 Jun
Arnedo
2 : 0
CD Tropezon
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Logrones B 34 26 8 0 99:22 86
2 Varea 34 22 7 5 51:25 73
3 Arnedo 34 21 9 4 72:26 72
4 CD Calahorra 34 17 12 5 86:26 63
5 Oyonesa 34 18 7 9 54:41 61
6 Anguiano 34 17 9 8 49:36 60
7 Haro Deportivo 34 14 9 11 54:46 51
8 Agoncillo 34 13 8 13 59:49 47
9 Vianes 34 11 9 14 39:51 42
10 Yague 34 9 13 12 48:52 40
11 San Marcial 34 10 9 15 39:59 39
12 Berceo 34 10 9 15 42:50 39
13 CDFC La Calzada 34 10 8 16 40:55 38
14 Comillas CF 34 11 5 18 32:58 38
15 Pradejon 34 9 8 17 30:49 35
16 Villegas 34 7 7 20 36:66 28
17 Autol 34 4 6 24 20:80 18
18 Pena Balsamaiso 34 0 11 23 27:86 11
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 16 2025/2026 (Play Offs)