Sport Picks

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Bergantinos vs Estradense

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion 2025
Bergantinos Logo

Bergantinos

Wed, Sep 17, 2025
2 - 1
06:00 PM
Estradense Logo

Estradense

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Cerro I.
13' Event
Vidal B.
120' Event
Rodriguez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bergantinos in this Copa Federacion 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Bergantinos
30%
Draws
29%
Estradense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Estradense have won more games recently than Bergantinos.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Bergantinos taking it.
  • Estradense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bergantinos, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Bergantinos have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%
Estradense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bergantinos Estradense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.11 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2025 Copa Federacion
Bergantinos vs Estradense
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Estradense vs Bergantinos
1:2
Mar 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Estradense
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Estradense vs Bergantinos
1:1
Aug 25, 2021 Club Friendly
Estradense vs Bergantinos
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bergantinos Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerro I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Estradense Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidal B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bergantinos 77 / 100
Estradense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bergantinos Estradense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Estradense has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Bergantinos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bergantinos scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Bergantinos VS Estradense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bergantinos

(Home)
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2
Bergantinos
12 Aug
Bergantinos
0 : 3
Lugo
03 May
UD Samano
0 : 5
Bergantinos
26 Apr
Bergantinos
1 : 3
UD Ourense
18 Apr
Real Oviedo B
1 : 2
Bergantinos
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Estradense

(Away)
06 Sept
Estradense
1 : 3
Sarriana
28 Aug
Compostela
2 : 2
Estradense
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
08 Aug
Estradense
0 : 5
Pontevedra
23 May
Atletico Arteixo
2 : 2
Estradense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 1
Tudelano 0
Formentera 1
SD Ibiza 0
Terrassa 4
Atletico Monzon 0
SD Ejea 2
UE Tona 0
Bergantinos 4
Marino De Luanco 2
Estradense 2
Covadonga 1
CD Laredo 1
Ourense CF 5
Zamora 4
Amorebieta 1
Varea 2
Moralo 0
San Sebastian Reyes 1
Alfaro 0
Laguna Tenerife 1
Toledo 2
Jaraiz 2
CD Coria 3
Deportiva Minera 3
Melilla 0
Molinense 2
Xerez CD 0
Ceuta 6 de Junio 2
Orihuela 5
Huetor Tajar 2
Bollullos 1
1/8-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 6
Formentera 1
Terrassa 0
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 2
Estradense 1
Ourense CF 2
Zamora 1
Varea 1
San Sebastian Reyes 2
Toledo 1
CD Coria 0
Deportiva Minera 3
Molinense 0
Orihuela 3
Huetor Tajar 0
Quarter-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 2
SD Ejea 1
Bergantinos 0
Ourense CF 2
San Sebastian Reyes 0
Toledo 1
Deportiva Minera 0
Orihuela 1
Semi-finals
CE Atletic Lleida 3
Ourense CF 4
Toledo 2
Orihuela 4
Final
Ourense CF 3
Orihuela 0