Sport Picks

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Berkhamsted Town vs Uxbridge

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Lacey J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South game between Berkhamsted Town and Uxbridge finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Berkhamsted Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Berkhamsted Town
20%
Draws
40%
Uxbridge
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Berkhamsted Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Uxbridge's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Berkhamsted Town have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Berkhamsted Town Clean Sheet 14%
Uxbridge Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berkhamsted Town Uxbridge
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 14
Draws 2 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.76 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Berkhamsted Town vs Uxbridge
1:0
Jan 20, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Berkhamsted Town vs Uxbridge
3:0
Sep 9, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Uxbridge vs Berkhamsted Town
2:1
Sep 8, 2012 FA Cup
Uxbridge vs Berkhamsted Town
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berkhamsted Town 27 / 100
Uxbridge 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berkhamsted Town Uxbridge

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uxbridge Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Berkhamsted Town found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Uxbridge conceded in 67% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Berkhamsted Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Berkhamsted Town VS Uxbridge
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Berkhamsted Town

(Home)
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
19 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
4 : 1
Hendon
15 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 0
Uxbridge
12 Sept
Evesham
0 : 0
Berkhamsted Town
05 Sept
Stortford
2 : 3
Berkhamsted Town
Page 1 of 6

Uxbridge

(Away)
22 Sept
Farnborough
0 : 2
Uxbridge
19 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 2
Farnborough
15 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 0
Uxbridge
12 Sept
Uxbridge
5 : 0
Chichester City
05 Sept
Uxbridge
3 : 0
Haywards Heath
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth Parkway 8 6 1 1 22:7 19
2 Uxbridge 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Hanworth Villa 8 5 1 2 15:7 16
4 Chertsey Town 8 4 2 2 19:12 14
5 Bath City 8 4 2 2 11:7 14
6 Frome Town 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
7 Chichester City 8 4 1 3 13:14 13
8 Berkhamsted Town 9 4 1 4 11:12 13
9 Taunton Town 8 4 0 4 21:20 12
10 Poole Town 7 4 0 3 8:9 12
11 Gosport Borough 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
12 Yate 7 3 2 2 10:11 11
13 Evesham 7 3 1 3 11:14 10
14 Bracknell Town 8 3 1 4 10:17 10
15 Wimborne 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
16 Basingstoke 8 2 3 3 13:14 9
17 Sholing 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
18 Chippenham Town 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
19 Hanwell Town 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
20 Gloucester City 8 1 3 4 11:16 6
21 Malvern Town 8 1 2 5 12:23 5
22 Havant & Waterlooville 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)