Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 game between Bermeo and Santurtzi finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santurtzi
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Santurtzi carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Bermeo Clean Sheet 20%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bermeo | Santurtzi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.32 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Santurtzi
0:0
Nov 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Bermeo
2:1
Mar 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs Bermeo
0:0
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Santurtzi
0:2
Feb 25, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Bermeo vs Santurtzi
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bermeo 32 / 100
Santurtzi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bermeo Santurtzi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santurtzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
Recent resilience: Bermeo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Santurtzi lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Bermeo's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Santurtzi
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bermeo
(Home) 18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2 Alaves B
11 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0 Bermeo
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1 Balmaseda
27 Apr
Zamudio
0 : 0 Bermeo
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3 SD San Pedro
Page 1 of 6
18 May
Bermeo
1 : 2 Alaves B
04 May
Bermeo
1 : 1 Balmaseda
18 Apr
Bermeo
3 : 3 SD San Pedro
06 Apr
Bermeo
0 : 0 Santurtzi
30 Mar
Bermeo
0 : 1 Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 3
Santurtzi
(Away) 20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0 Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1 SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0 Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1 Santurtzi
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0 SD Erandio
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0 Santurtzi
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0 Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1 Santurtzi
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1 Santurtzi
26 Apr
Zamudio
1 : 1 Santurtzi
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 38 | 26 | 8 | 4 | 65:21 | 86 |
| 2 | Sestao | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74:36 | 78 |
| 3 | Alaves B | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 69:44 | 66 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 66:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Balmaseda | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 50:36 | 63 |
| 6 | Basconia | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 64:52 | 60 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad C | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 71:48 | 59 |
| 8 | Somorrostro | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 59:43 | 57 |
| 9 | Sodupe | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 49:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Pasaia | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 33:46 | 49 |
| 11 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 38:48 | 48 |
| 12 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 46:46 | 48 |
| 13 | Beasain | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 46:40 | 46 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 33:42 | 45 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 41:55 | 43 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:66 | 39 |
| 17 | Amurrio Club | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 30:64 | 34 |
| 18 | Ordizia | 38 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 40:72 | 31 |
| 19 | SD San Pedro | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 40:69 | 29 |
| 20 | Bermeo | 38 | 2 | 13 | 23 | 24:71 | 19 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
