Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Berwick vs Bonnyrigg Rose

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Young K.
Assist: Hogarth T.
44' Event
Bryce R.
Assist: Hogarth T.
64'
Mair S.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Berwick and Bonnyrigg Rose finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonnyrigg Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Berwick
15%
Draws
51%
Bonnyrigg Rose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Berwick haven't matched Bonnyrigg Rose's recent run of results.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Berwick Clean Sheet 10%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Berwick Bonnyrigg Rose
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 19
Draws 6 4
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.77 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Lowland League
Berwick vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:2
Mar 28, 2026 Lowland League
Berwick vs Bonnyrigg Rose
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Berwick
3:4
Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Berwick vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:3
Mar 12, 2022 Lowland League
Berwick vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Berwick Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bonnyrigg Rose Compare

Top Goalscorer Young K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bryce R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Berwick 34 / 100
Bonnyrigg Rose 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Berwick Bonnyrigg Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bonnyrigg Rose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Berwick scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Bonnyrigg Rose has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Bonnyrigg Rose's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Berwick VS Bonnyrigg Rose
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Berwick

(Home)
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 1
Berwick
12 Sept
Berwick
1 : 2
Tranent FC
08 Sept
Berwick
1 : 0
Hibernian B
29 Aug
Broxburn Athletic
2 : 0
Berwick
Page 1 of 7

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Away)
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
12 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
08 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
29 Aug
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2
Hill Of Beath
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 8 8 0 0 17:4 24
2 Hill Of Beath 9 7 0 2 14:10 21
3 Linlithgow Rose 9 6 1 2 25:11 19
4 Brechin 8 6 1 1 17:10 19
5 Broxburn Athletic 8 6 1 1 13:7 19
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
8 Civil Service Strollers 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
9 Boness United 9 4 1 4 16:18 13
10 East Stirlingshire 9 3 1 5 13:19 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 8 1 1 6 6:17 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 9 1 0 8 9:24 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 9 7 0 2 28:13 21
2 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
3 Pollok 9 6 2 1 21:12 20
4 Auchinleck Talbot 9 6 1 2 31:9 19
5 Largs Thistle 9 6 1 2 13:9 19
6 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
7 Caledonian Braves 9 5 1 3 26:21 16
8 Johnstone Burgh 8 4 3 1 19:13 15
9 Cumnock Juniors 8 4 2 2 21:14 14
10 Troon FC 9 4 0 5 18:15 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Albion Rovers 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Beith 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
14 Gretna 2008 10 2 1 7 20:32 7
15 Renfrew 8 1 1 6 13:26 4
16 Newton Stewart 8 1 1 6 9:32 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 9 0 1 8 5:30 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)