Sport Picks
Beselidhja Lezha vs Apolonia Fier
Albania
Albanian Cup 2022/2023 
Match Events
67'
67'
Umejiego M. A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Apolonia Fier advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Apolonia Fier
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Apolonia Fier come out ahead of Beselidhja Lezha on wins alone.
- Model gives Apolonia Fier a 60% chance of winning this.
- Apolonia Fier arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Apolonia Fier, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Apolonia Fier here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 20%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Beselidhja Lezha | Apolonia Fier |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 46 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 19 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 3 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2025 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:0
Apr 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:1
Dec 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Apolonia Fier
1:2
Oct 12, 2022 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs Beselidhja Lezha
1:1
Sep 25, 2022 Albanian Cup
Beselidhja Lezha vs Apolonia Fier
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Beselidhja Lezha Compare
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5
Apolonia Fier Compare
Top Goalscorer Umejiego M. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Beselidhja Lezha 20 / 100
Apolonia Fier 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Beselidhja Lezha Apolonia Fier
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick APO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Apolonia Fier let in goals in 72% of their last 46 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Difficult form: Apolonia Fier registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Beselidhja Lezha scored in 43% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Beselidhja Lezha VS Apolonia Fier
3 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Beselidhja Lezha
(Home) 26 Jul
Beselidhja Lezha
3 : 1 Otrant
15 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
16 Oct
KF Valbona
1 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3 AF Elbasani
18 May
Korabi Peshkopi
3 : 0 Beselidhja Lezha
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Beselidhja Lezha
3 : 1 Otrant
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3 AF Elbasani
07 May
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3 Flamurtari
15 Apr
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 1 Luzi
08 Apr
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 1 Tomori Berat
Page 1 of 3
Apolonia Fier
(Away) 03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4 Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2 Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0 Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0 Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 10
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0 Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0 Apolonia Fier
18 Mar
AF Luftetari
2 : 2 Apolonia Fier
07 Mar
Laci
2 : 1 Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 5
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Pogradeci-
TBD-
TBD-
Bylis-
Flamurtari-
TBD-
TBD-
Vllaznia-
Besa Kavaje-
TBD-
TBD-
Korabi Peshkopi-
KF Oriku-
TBD-
TBD-
Partizani-
Maliqi-
TBD-
TBD-
Skenderbeu Korca-
Shkumbini Peqin-
TBD-
TBD-
KF Egnatia-
Burreli-
TBD-
TBD-
Tomori Berat-
KS Devolli5
Librazhd1
TBD-
Laci-
Butrinti Sarande-
TBD-
TBD-
Dinamo Tirana-
Vora-
TBD-
TBD-
Kastrioti-
Lushnja-
TBD-
TBD-
Terbuni Puka-
Koplik3
Murlani0
TBD-
KF Tirana-
Turbina Cerrik-
TBD-
TBD-
Erzeni Shijak-
Luzi-
TBD-
TBD-
Teuta-
Beselidhja Lezha-
TBD-
TBD-
Apolonia Fier-
Laberia FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kukesi-
1/16-finals
Pogradeci1
Bylis10
Flamurtari2
Vllaznia4
Besa Kavaje1
Korabi Peshkopi4
KF Oriku0
Partizani2
Maliqi1
Skenderbeu Korca8
Shkumbini Peqin0
KF Egnatia6
Burreli2
Tomori Berat5
KS Devolli0
Laci7
Butrinti Sarande0
Dinamo Tirana4
Vora0
Kastrioti1
Lushnja4
Terbuni Puka3
Koplik2
KF Tirana5
Turbina Cerrik1
Erzeni Shijak6
Luzi0
Teuta2
Beselidhja Lezha1
Apolonia Fier2
Laberia FC0
Kukesi5
1/8-finals
Bylis1
Vllaznia3
Korabi Peshkopi1
Partizani6
Skenderbeu Korca1
KF Egnatia2
Tomori Berat2
Laci5
Dinamo Tirana1
Kastrioti3
Lushnja0
KF Tirana4
Erzeni Shijak1
Teuta2
Apolonia Fier0
Kukesi5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia3
Partizani2
KF Egnatia3
Laci0
Kastrioti3
KF Tirana6
Teuta3
Kukesi2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia1
KF Egnatia2
KF Tirana3
Teuta0
Final
KF Egnatia1
KF Tirana0
