Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Beselidhja Lezha vs Korabi Peshkopi

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Lila V.

AI Match Summary

Korabi Peshkopi in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Korabi Peshkopi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Beselidhja Lezha
6%
Draws
90%
Korabi Peshkopi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Korabi Peshkopi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Korabi Peshkopi lately — more wins on the board than Beselidhja Lezha.
  • Model gives Korabi Peshkopi a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Korabi Peshkopi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Beselidhja Lezha Clean Sheet 23%
Korabi Peshkopi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Beselidhja Lezha Korabi Peshkopi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 3 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Korabi Peshkopi vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:0
Jan 28, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Korabi Peshkopi
0:1
Feb 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Korabi Peshkopi
2:0
Oct 2, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Korabi Peshkopi vs Beselidhja Lezha
3:1
Mar 7, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Beselidhja Lezha vs Korabi Peshkopi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Beselidhja Lezha Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Korabi Peshkopi Compare

Top Goalscorer Lila V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Beselidhja Lezha 10 / 100
Korabi Peshkopi 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Beselidhja Lezha Korabi Peshkopi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Korabi Peshkopi let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Beselidhja Lezha found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Beselidhja Lezha stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Beselidhja Lezha VS Korabi Peshkopi
3 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Beselidhja Lezha

(Home)
26 Jul
Beselidhja Lezha
3 : 1
Otrant
15 Oct
Apolonia Fier
3 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
16 Oct
KF Valbona
1 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
17 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
0 : 3
AF Elbasani
18 May
Korabi Peshkopi
3 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
Page 1 of 6

Korabi Peshkopi

(Away)
03 May
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
25 Apr
Besa Kavaje
1 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
19 Apr
Kukesi
1 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skenderbeu Korca261310337:1349
2Dinamo Tirana26145748:2347
3Flamurtari26137640:1646
4Tomori Berat26134929:2743
5Korabi Peshkopi26109732:2439
6Apolonia Fier26108831:3038
7Luzi26108831:2638
8Besa Kavaje26107932:2637
9Lushnja26881030:4232
10Burreli26710922:2931
11KF Oriku26931427:3330
12Turbina Cerrik26751424:4526
13Beselidhja Lezha26381517:4114
14Terbuni Puka26661416:4124
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)