Sport Picks
Bidco United vs Kakamega Homeboyz Prediction & H2H Stats
Kenya
Premier League 
Match Events
14'
14'
Ouma R.
34'
34'
Omollo H.
70'
70'
Otunga G.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Bidco United and Kakamega Homeboyz finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kakamega Homeboyz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bidco United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kakamega Homeboyz come out ahead of Bidco United on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Kakamega Homeboyz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 23%
Kakamega Homeboyz Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bidco United | Kakamega Homeboyz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 24 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.53 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.78 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Bidco United vs Kakamega Homeboyz
1:4
Oct 15, 2025 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Bidco United
3:1
Jun 15, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Kakamega Homeboyz
0:1
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Kakamega Homeboyz vs Bidco United
1:0
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Kakamega Homeboyz
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bidco United Compare
Top Goalscorer Ochieng M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.6
Avg xA / game 0.39
Kakamega Homeboyz Compare
Top Goalscorer Ouma R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Omollo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.94
Avg xA / game 0.57
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bidco United 33 / 100
Kakamega Homeboyz 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bidco United Kakamega Homeboyz
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kakamega Homeboyz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Kakamega Homeboyz conceded in 79% of 24 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Kakamega Homeboyz has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Bidco United's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Bidco United VS Kakamega Homeboyz
0.43 Goals Scored 0.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.13
71% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Bidco United
(Home) 31 May
Leopards
1 : 2 Bidco United
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2 Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
10 May
Tusker
2 : 0 Bidco United
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Bidco United
0 : 2 Muranga
17 May
Bidco United
0 : 1 Shabana
03 May
Bidco United
0 : 0 Kariobangi Sharks
05 Apr
Bidco United
0 : 1 KCB
21 Mar
Bidco United
0 : 0 Sofapaka
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Kakamega Homeboyz
(Away) 31 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kakamega Homeboyz
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
16 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 2 Leopards
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0 Kakamega Homeboyz
03 May
Kakamega Homeboyz
0 : 1 Mahia
Page 1 of 5
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1 Kakamega Homeboyz
23 May
Kariobangi Sharks
2 : 2 Kakamega Homeboyz
10 May
Muranga
1 : 0 Kakamega Homeboyz
26 Apr
KCB
1 : 1 Kakamega Homeboyz
18 Apr
Shabana
1 : 0 Kakamega Homeboyz
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50:22 | 69 |
| 2 | Leopards | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 44:28 | 64 |
| 3 | Police FC | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 31:21 | 55 |
| 4 | Nairobi United | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 5 | Shabana | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:34 | 52 |
| 6 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 47:37 | 49 |
| 7 | KCB | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 36:37 | 48 |
| 8 | Muranga | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27:32 | 45 |
| 10 | APS Bomet | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 37:35 | 44 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 30:30 | 44 |
| 12 | Bandari | 34 | 9 | 17 | 8 | 26:26 | 44 |
| 13 | Ulinzi Stars | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Mathare United | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:35 | 41 |
| 15 | Posta Rangers | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 31:40 | 40 |
| 16 | Kariobangi Sharks | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:33 | 38 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 19:40 | 27 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 34 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 19:51 | 19 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - Super League 2026/2027 (Main)
