Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Sanchez A.
37'
37'
Izquierdo Vela A.
56'
56'
Chicho
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Binefar and UD Casetas finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UD Casetas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Binefar carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Binefar a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Binefar Clean Sheet 10%
UD Casetas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Binefar | UD Casetas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs UD Casetas
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs Binefar
1:2
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
UD Casetas vs Binefar
1:0
Nov 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Binefar vs UD Casetas
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Binefar Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chicho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
UD Casetas Compare
Top Goalscorer Izquierdo Vela A.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Castro C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Binefar 34 / 100
UD Casetas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Binefar UD Casetas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Binefar's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Defensive concern: UD Casetas conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Binefar went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Binefar VS UD Casetas
2.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Binefar
(Home) 19 Sept
La Almunia
2 : 1 Binefar
16 Sept
Terrassa
4 : 0 Binefar
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3 Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0 Porreres
06 Sept
Andorra CF
2 : 4 Binefar
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Binefar
2 : 3 Tamarite
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0 Porreres
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0 Utrillas
19 Apr
Binefar
1 : 2 Atletico Monzon
03 Apr
Binefar
4 : 2 CD Carinena
Page 1 of 3
UD Casetas
(Away) 08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1 UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1 UD Casetas
03 May
UD Casetas
2 : 0 Andorra CF
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 UD Casetas
19 Apr
UD Casetas
5 : 1 Tamarite
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Utebo FC
4 : 1 UD Casetas
10 May
CD Belchite 97
1 : 1 UD Casetas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3 UD Casetas
12 Apr
Atletico Monzon
7 : 2 UD Casetas
29 Mar
CD Carinena
1 : 1 UD Casetas
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Calamocha | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 49:22 | 75 |
| 2 | CD Cuarte | 34 | 20 | 14 | 0 | 43:12 | 74 |
| 3 | Atletico Monzon | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 73:37 | 73 |
| 4 | Epila | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 39:20 | 67 |
| 5 | CD Caspe | 34 | 13 | 14 | 7 | 38:26 | 53 |
| 6 | Huesca B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:33 | 52 |
| 7 | Binefar | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 58:47 | 48 |
| 8 | La Almunia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:38 | 47 |
| 9 | Almudevar | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34:39 | 44 |
| 10 | Tamarite | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:47 | 41 |
| 11 | Andorra CF | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:45 | 39 |
| 12 | CF Illueca | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:51 | 38 |
| 13 | Robres | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 38:49 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Belchite 97 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 28:43 | 32 |
| 15 | CD Carinena | 34 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 35:46 | 31 |
| 16 | UD Casetas | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 40:56 | 30 |
| 17 | Utrillas | 34 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 36:57 | 29 |
| 18 | Zuera | 34 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 17:65 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
