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Binissalem vs Son Ferrer

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Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 game between Binissalem and Son Ferrer finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Binissalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Binissalem
15%
Draws
0%
Son Ferrer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Binissalem

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Binissalem come out ahead of Son Ferrer on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Binissalem taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 20%
Son Ferrer Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Binissalem Son Ferrer
Matches Played 42 31
Wins 16 2
Draws 11 1
Losses 15 28
Goals Scored 1.02 0.61
Goals Conceded 0.95 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Son Ferrer
1:0
Nov 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Son Ferrer vs Binissalem
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Binissalem 85 / 100
Son Ferrer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Binissalem Son Ferrer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Binissalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Son Ferrer conceded in 100% of 31 recent games.

Son Ferrer lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Binissalem scored in 60% of their last 42 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Binissalem VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Binissalem

(Home)
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3
Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Binissalem
1 : 3
Cardassar
05 Sept
Manacor
2 : 1
Binissalem
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 9

Son Ferrer

(Away)
19 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 1
Andratx
12 May
Espana
6 : 1
Son Ferrer
05 May
Son Ferrer
0 : 4
Penya Ciutadella Esportiva
28 Apr
Soller
3 : 1
Son Ferrer
21 Apr
Son Ferrer
1 : 2
Atletico Isleno
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 38 24 13 1 68:21 85
2 Binissalem 38 24 8 6 59:26 80
3 Llosetense 38 23 7 8 81:50 76
4 CD Montuiri 38 22 9 7 66:28 75
5 El Espinar Sant Rafel 38 20 12 6 56:23 72
6 Pena Deportiva 38 20 7 11 61:35 67
7 Santanyi 38 19 10 9 65:40 67
8 Campos 38 14 14 10 38:31 56
9 UD Poblense 38 14 13 11 49:39 55
10 Mercadal 38 14 10 14 42:47 52
11 Collerense 38 11 12 15 46:58 45
12 Felanitx 38 11 9 18 36:58 42
13 Son Ferrer 38 10 12 16 28:50 42
14 Alcudia 38 10 9 19 42:54 39
15 Espana 38 11 6 21 44:66 39
16 Atletico Isleno 38 9 11 18 46:60 38
17 Ferriolense 38 10 6 22 44:60 36
18 Platges de Calvia 38 9 7 22 41:65 34
19 CD Ferrerias 38 5 8 25 27:87 23
20 Alaior 38 4 9 25 35:76 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)