Sport Picks
Birmingham Legion vs Sporting Jax
USA
USL Championship Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Paterson AJ In: Kavita P.
Out: Paterson AJ
54'
54'
Sub
Godinho M. In: Kuzain W.
Out: Godinho M.
55'
55'
Damus R.
Assist: McCartney D.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Birmingham Legion and Sporting Jax finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Jax.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sporting Jax
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Sporting Jax haven't matched Birmingham Legion's recent run of results.
- Birmingham Legion are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Jax Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Birmingham Legion | Sporting Jax |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Sporting Jax
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Birmingham Legion Compare
Top Goalscorer Damus R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Williams R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Sporting Jax Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaaskelainen E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kuzain W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Birmingham Legion 83 / 100
Sporting Jax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Birmingham Legion Sporting Jax
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Birmingham Legion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting Jax's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.
Birmingham Legion found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Birmingham Legion has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Birmingham Legion VS Sporting Jax
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Birmingham Legion
(Home) 19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
29 Aug
Hartford Athletic
3 : 2 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
02 Aug
Birmingham Legion
1 : 0 Rhode Island
12 Jul
Birmingham Legion
3 : 1 FC Tulsa
Page 1 of 3
Sporting Jax
(Away) 16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Sporting Jax
0 : 3 Rhode Island
05 Sept
Sporting Jax
3 : 2 Lexington
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
29 Aug
Brooklyn FC
4 : 1 Sporting Jax
23 Aug
Birmingham Legion
2 : 3 Sporting Jax
02 Aug
Sacramento Republic
5 : 0 Sporting Jax
26 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:24 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 41:40 | 36 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:45 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40:37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29:28 | 37 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
