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Bisceglie vs Virtus Matino Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Urquiza F.
45' Event
Calo A.
62' Event
Inguscio A.

AI Match Summary

Virtus Matino in this Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Virtus Matino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Bisceglie
15%
Draws
34%
Virtus Matino
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bisceglie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bisceglie have won more games recently than Virtus Matino.
  • Win probability leans Bisceglie's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Bisceglie Clean Sheet 68%
Virtus Matino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bisceglie Virtus Matino
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.14 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Bisceglie vs Virtus Matino
1:2
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Matino vs Bisceglie
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bisceglie Compare

Top Goalscorer Urquiza F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Virtus Matino Compare

Top Goalscorer Calo A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Inguscio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bisceglie 95 / 100
Virtus Matino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bisceglie Virtus Matino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bisceglie Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Matino has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Bisceglie found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Bisceglie went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bisceglie VS Virtus Matino
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bisceglie

(Home)
04 Oct
Manfredonia
1 : 0
Bisceglie
27 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Ischia
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Matino

(Away)
22 May
Virtus Matino
3 : 4
Brindisi
15 May
Rotonda
2 : 0
Virtus Matino
08 May
Virtus Matino
1 : 5
Bitonto
01 May
Francavilla
2 : 3
Virtus Matino
24 Apr
Virtus Matino
2 : 1
Nocerina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Audace Cerignola 38 26 10 2 83:27 88
2 Francavilla 38 22 5 11 62:44 71
3 Bitonto 38 19 8 11 56:40 65
4 Citta di Fasano 38 18 8 12 63:50 62
5 Nocerina 38 17 7 14 55:48 58
6 Gravina 38 16 8 14 51:49 56
7 Casertana 38 15 10 13 56:52 55
8 Sorrento 38 14 10 14 41:50 52
9 SS Nola 1925 38 14 9 15 50:58 51
10 Brindisi 38 14 7 17 42:55 49
11 Molfetta Calcio 38 11 15 12 48:45 48
12 Mariglianese 38 13 8 17 43:46 47
13 Casarano 38 12 11 15 37:49 47
14 Altamura 38 12 11 15 48:45 47
15 A.C.D. Nardo 38 12 9 17 59:67 45
16 Lavello 38 12 9 17 49:56 45
17 Rotonda 38 14 8 16 39:46 42
18 San Giorgio 38 9 14 15 30:44 41
19 Bisceglie 38 8 15 15 32:47 39
20 Virtus Matino 38 8 6 24 36:62 30
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2021/2022 (Play Out)