Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bistrc vs Sobec Lesce

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bistrc in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bistrc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Bistrc
30%
Draws
39%
Sobec Lesce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sobec Lesce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Bistrc haven't matched Sobec Lesce's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sobec Lesce a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sobec Lesce here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrc Sobec Lesce
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.11
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 2.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Sobec Lesce
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Bistrc
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Bistrc
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Sobec Lesce
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrc 14 / 100
Sobec Lesce 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrc Sobec Lesce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sobec Lesce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Bistrc scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sobec Lesce let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Bistrc went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bistrc VS Sobec Lesce
1.29 Goals Scored 1.25
3.14 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrc

(Home)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
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Sobec Lesce

(Away)
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
23 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
15 Aug
Rudar Trbovlje
0 : 0
Sobec Lesce
23 May
Sobec Lesce
4 : 1
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)