Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bistrc vs Sobec Lesce

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bistrc in this 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bistrc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Bistrc
11%
Draws
80%
Sobec Lesce
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Sobec Lesce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bistrc haven't matched Sobec Lesce's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sobec Lesce a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sobec Lesce here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Bistrc Clean Sheet 10%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bistrc Sobec Lesce
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Sobec Lesce
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Bistrc
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Bistrc
3:1
Sep 14, 2024 3. SNL - West
Bistrc vs Sobec Lesce
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bistrc 10 / 100
Sobec Lesce 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bistrc Sobec Lesce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Bistrc scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Sobec Lesce let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Bistrc went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bistrc VS Sobec Lesce
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bistrc

(Home)
23 May
Bistrc
3 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
16 May
Skofja Loka
3 : 4
Bistrc
09 May
Bistrc
1 : 3
IB 1975 Ljubljana
02 May
Izola
5 : 0
Bistrc
25 Apr
Bistrc
0 : 3
Vrhnika
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Sobec Lesce

(Away)
23 May
Sobec Lesce
4 : 1
IB 1975 Ljubljana
17 May
Izola
2 : 1
Sobec Lesce
09 May
Sobec Lesce
1 : 5
Vrhnika
02 May
Dob
1 : 2
Sobec Lesce
25 Apr
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vrhnika26175463:2156
2Sencur26166446:2754
3Dob26155654:2950
4Tolmin26143947:3345
5Izola26126853:3942
6Rudar Trbovlje26118756:3941
7IB 1975 Ljubljana261131235:4436
8Sobec Lesce261061031:3236
9Skofja Loka26791037:4230
10Ziri26761330:5227
11Fama Vipava26681228:4226
12Ljubljana Svoboda26651530:5123
13Zidgrad Idrija26641634:5722
14Bistrc26541735:7119
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)