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Blacktown Spartans vs Bankstown City Lions FC

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Booth A.
55' Event
Ellem D.
59' Event
Kyra A.

AI Match Summary

The NSW League One game between Blacktown Spartans and Bankstown City Lions FC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blacktown Spartans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Blacktown Spartans
11%
Draws
9%
Bankstown City Lions FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Blacktown Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Blacktown Spartans come out ahead of Bankstown City Lions FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Blacktown Spartans's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Blacktown Spartans have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Blacktown Spartans Clean Sheet 16%
Bankstown City Lions FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacktown Spartans Bankstown City Lions FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 16
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 3 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Bankstown City Lions FC
4:1
Feb 28, 2026 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Blacktown Spartans
3:1
Jul 11, 2025 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Bankstown City Lions FC
2:1
Mar 29, 2025 NSW League One
Bankstown City Lions FC vs Blacktown Spartans
0:2
Aug 16, 2024 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Bankstown City Lions FC
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blacktown Spartans Compare

Top Goalscorer Booth A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ellem D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Bankstown City Lions FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Ricciuto B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacktown Spartans 75 / 100
Bankstown City Lions FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacktown Spartans Bankstown City Lions FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacktown Spartans's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bankstown City Lions FC conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Blacktown Spartans has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Blacktown Spartans VS Bankstown City Lions FC
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacktown Spartans

(Home)
25 Jul
Northern Tigers
0 : 3
Blacktown Spartans
18 Jul
Canterbury Bankstown FC
1 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
12 Jul
Central Coast U23
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
04 Jul
Blacktown Spartans
7 : 2
Newcastle Jets U23
26 Jun
Blacktown Spartans
3 : 1
Rydalmere Lions
Page 1 of 6

Bankstown City Lions FC

(Away)
25 Jul
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 1
Canterbury Bankstown FC
18 Jul
Bulls Academy
0 : 5
Bankstown City Lions FC
10 Jul
Macarthur Rams
1 : 1
Bankstown City Lions FC
04 Jul
Bankstown City Lions FC
2 : 2
Dulwich Hill
27 Jun
Western City Rangers
2 : 3
Bankstown City Lions FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacktown Spartans25175363:3156
2Northern Tigers25137543:2546
3Bankstown City Lions FC25144747:3846
4Macarthur Rams25126733:2742
5Canterbury Bankstown FC25125858:4141
6Rydalmere Lions25107837:3537
7Hills United25106943:4136
8Bulls Academy241031144:3933
9Hakoah Sydney2589842:4033
10Hurstville Zagreb25961039:4033
11Central Coast U2324761140:4727
12Newcastle Jets U2325681147:5626
13Dulwich Hill25681131:4726
14Inter Lions25751330:4726
15Prospect United252131024:4419
16Western City Rangers25541629:5219
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)