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Blacktown Spartans vs Macarthur Rams

Australia Australia

NSW League One
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Yelchan C.

AI Match Summary

Macarthur Rams in this NSW League One matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Macarthur Rams.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Blacktown Spartans
15%
Draws
27%
Macarthur Rams
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blacktown Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Blacktown Spartans have won more games recently than Macarthur Rams.
  • Win probability leans Blacktown Spartans's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Blacktown Spartans here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Blacktown Spartans Clean Sheet 20%
Macarthur Rams Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacktown Spartans Macarthur Rams
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 3 10
Goals Scored 2.63 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans
0:2
May 1, 2026 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Macarthur Rams
0:1
Aug 8, 2025 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Macarthur Rams
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans
1:2
Aug 10, 2024 NSW League One
Macarthur Rams vs Blacktown Spartans
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blacktown Spartans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Macarthur Rams Compare

Top Goalscorer Yelchan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacktown Spartans 85 / 100
Macarthur Rams 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacktown Spartans Macarthur Rams

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blacktown Spartans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacktown Spartans scored in 97% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Blacktown Spartans stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Macarthur Rams has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Blacktown Spartans VS Macarthur Rams
3.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Blacktown Spartans

(Home)
29 Aug
Bulls Academy
2 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
21 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
6 : 2
Hurstville Zagreb
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
07 Aug
Blacktown Spartans
4 : 0
Inter Lions
31 Jul
Prospect United
1 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
Page 1 of 6

Macarthur Rams

(Away)
29 Aug
Canterbury Bankstown FC
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
22 Aug
Northern Tigers
3 : 2
Macarthur Rams
15 Aug
Macarthur Rams
0 : 2
Blacktown Spartans
08 Aug
Dulwich Hill
1 : 2
Macarthur Rams
01 Aug
Bulls Academy
0 : 1
Macarthur Rams
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blacktown Spartans 30 21 6 3 79:36 69
2 Northern Tigers 30 17 8 5 55:30 59
3 Bankstown City Lions FC 30 17 5 8 65:45 56
4 Canterbury Bankstown FC 30 15 6 9 71:53 51
5 Hills United 30 14 7 9 62:45 49
6 Macarthur Rams 30 14 6 10 40:36 48
7 Hakoah Sydney 30 10 11 9 55:52 41
8 Rydalmere Lions 30 11 8 11 43:46 41
9 Bulls Academy 30 11 5 14 52:50 38
10 Inter Lions 30 10 5 15 39:54 35
11 Hurstville Zagreb 30 9 6 15 42:55 33
12 Central Coast U23 30 8 7 15 46:67 31
13 Dulwich Hill 30 7 9 14 40:58 30
14 Newcastle Jets U23 30 6 11 13 55:73 29
15 Prospect United 30 4 14 12 33:52 26
16 Western City Rangers 30 6 6 18 37:62 24
Promotion - NPL NSW 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One (Relegation)