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Blacktown Spartans vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Australia Australia

NSW League One 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Blacktown Spartans play Western Sydney Wanderers U21 in the NSW League One 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Blacktown Spartans averaged 2.35 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Western Sydney Wanderers U21 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Blacktown Spartans won 0, Western Sydney Wanderers U21 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 6, 2022 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Blacktown Spartans and 1.81 for Western Sydney Wanderers U21. This points to a Blacktown Spartans double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Blacktown Spartans
15%
Draws
37%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blacktown Spartans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Blacktown Spartans picked up more points recently compared to Western Sydney Wanderers U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Blacktown Spartans Clean Sheet 11%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blacktown Spartans Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 20 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.35 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2022 NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1:2
May 21, 2022 NSW League One
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Blacktown Spartans
7:1
May 9, 2021 NSW League One
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs Blacktown Spartans
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blacktown Spartans 45 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blacktown Spartans Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Blacktown Spartans or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Blacktown Spartans attacking → ← attacking Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blacktown Spartans scored in 90% of their last 31 games.

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Blacktown Spartans went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 41
2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Central Coast Academy22145348:1747
2St. George City22145346:2447
3Western Sydney Wanderers U2122153468:3145
4NWS Spirit22136341:1945
5Northern Tigers22103940:3533
6Hakoah Sydney2286832:4130
7Blacktown Spartans2167829:3825
8Bonnyrigg White Eagles2065928:2923
9St George Saints21631231:3921
10Mounties Wanderers FC22621425:5120
11SD Raiders22521525:5017
12Hills United22311823:6210