Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Blekitni Stargard vs Victoria Wrzesnia

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Duda J.
18' Event
Duda J.
48' Event
Wolniewicz A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Blekitni Stargard and Victoria Wrzesnia finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Victoria Wrzesnia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Blekitni Stargard
6%
Draws
4%
Victoria Wrzesnia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Blekitni Stargard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Victoria Wrzesnia come out ahead of Blekitni Stargard on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Blekitni Stargard taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blekitni Stargard Victoria Wrzesnia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Victoria Wrzesnia
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Blekitni Stargard
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Duda J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Victoria Wrzesnia Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolniewicz A.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blekitni Stargard 85 / 100
Victoria Wrzesnia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blekitni Stargard Victoria Wrzesnia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Blekitni Stargard remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Blekitni Stargard found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Victoria Wrzesnia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Blekitni Stargard VS Victoria Wrzesnia
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blekitni Stargard

(Home)
17 Jul
Swit Szczecin
0 : 1
Blekitni Stargard
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Swinoujscie
30 May
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
22 May
Tluchowo
1 : 4
Blekitni Stargard
17 May
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6

Victoria Wrzesnia

(Away)
25 Jul
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 0
Lipno Steszew
15 Jul
LZS Polonia Golina
3 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
08 Jul
Victoria Wrzesnia
4 : 0
Piast Kobylnica
30 May
Lech Poznan II
1 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
23 May
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 3
Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)