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Blumenau vs Caravaggio

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Otavio
67' Event
Vinicius Jau
83' Event
Evaristo

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Blumenau and Caravaggio finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Blumenau
11%
Draws
80%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Blumenau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Caravaggio taking it.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 10%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Blumenau Caravaggio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Caravaggio
1:2
Apr 29, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Blumenau
1:3
Jun 16, 2024 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Blumenau
3:1
Jun 26, 2022 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Caravaggio
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Jau
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Otavio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evaristo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Blumenau 10 / 100
Caravaggio 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Blumenau Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Blumenau scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Blumenau stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Blumenau VS Caravaggio
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Blumenau

(Home)
25 Jul
Jaragua-SC
0 : 3
Blumenau
22 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Nacao
19 Jul
Guarani de Palhoca
1 : 1
Blumenau
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Blumenau
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
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Caravaggio

(Away)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz18133235:1042
2CA Metropolitano18122436:1838
3Caravaggio18105347:2035
4Blumenau1894535:1531
5Tubarao1865723:2123
6Guarani de Palhoca1865724:2423
7Nacao1856719:2621
8Fluminense-SC1863916:2521
9Gremio Juventus18521117:2617
10Jaragua-SC1801176:731
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)