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Boavista U20 vs Madureira U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Carioca U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gabriel Nobrega
30' Event
Riquelme
71' Event
Valle G.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca U20 2025 game between Boavista U20 and Madureira U20 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madureira U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Boavista U20
35%
Draws
30%
Madureira U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Boavista U20 haven't matched Madureira U20's recent run of results.
  • Boavista U20 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Madureira U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Boavista U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Madureira U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boavista U20 Madureira U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 10
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Carioca U20
Madureira U20 vs Boavista U20
1:1
Sep 26, 2025 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Madureira U20
1:2
Jul 20, 2024 Carioca U20
Boavista U20 vs Madureira U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boavista U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Riquelme
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Madureira U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Nobrega
1 Goals
Assists Leader Valle G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boavista U20 35 / 100
Madureira U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boavista U20 Madureira U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madureira U20 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Boavista U20 found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Solid form: Boavista U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Boavista U20 VS Madureira U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Boavista U20

(Home)
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
27 Sept
Sampaio Correa FE U20
3 : 1
Boavista U20
20 Sept
Boavista U20
3 : 2
Nova Iguacu U20
13 Sept
Portuguesa RJ U20
1 : 2
Boavista U20
09 Sept
Vasco U20
2 : 1
Boavista U20
Page 1 of 6

Madureira U20

(Away)
03 Oct
Madureira U20
1 : 1
Boavista U20
30 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 1
Vasco U20
27 Sept
Nova Iguacu U20
2 : 2
Madureira U20
19 Sept
Madureira U20
0 : 0
Portuguesa RJ U20
12 Sept
Marica U20
2 : 3
Madureira U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vasco U20 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Flamengo RJ U20 11 8 1 2 27:9 25
3 Botafogo RJ U20 11 6 1 4 19:12 19
4 Fluminense U20 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
5 Volta Redonda U20 11 5 2 4 14:24 17
6 Bangu U20 11 4 3 4 10:14 15
7 Marica U20 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
8 Portuguesa RJ U20 11 4 1 6 12:10 13
9 Sampaio Correa FE U20 11 3 4 4 14:19 13
10 Madureira U20 11 3 3 5 14:19 12
11 Nova Iguacu U20 11 2 2 7 9:17 8
12 Boavista U20 11 1 2 8 10:20 5
Promotion - Carioca U20 2025 (Taca Guanabara - Play Offs)