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Bobo-Dioulasso vs Etoile Filante

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Général Aboubacar Sangoulé Lamizana, Bobo Dioulasso
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Diarra A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Bobo-Dioulasso and Etoile Filante finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Etoile Filante.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Bobo-Dioulasso
6%
Draws
90%
Etoile Filante
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Etoile Filante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Etoile Filante come out ahead of Bobo-Dioulasso on wins alone.
  • Etoile Filante are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
Bobo-Dioulasso Clean Sheet 23%
Etoile Filante Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bobo-Dioulasso Etoile Filante
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 12
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Bobo-Dioulasso vs Etoile Filante
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs Bobo-Dioulasso
0:0
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
Etoile Filante vs Bobo-Dioulasso
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Bobo-Dioulasso vs Etoile Filante
1:0
Apr 18, 2024 Premier League
Bobo-Dioulasso vs Etoile Filante
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bobo-Dioulasso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Etoile Filante Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bobo-Dioulasso 10 / 100
Etoile Filante 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bobo-Dioulasso Etoile Filante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Etoile Filante conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Bobo-Dioulasso scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 0.40 goals.

Solid form: Bobo-Dioulasso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bobo-Dioulasso VS Etoile Filante
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Bobo-Dioulasso

(Home)
10 May
Bobo-Dioulasso
0 : 2
USFA
03 May
Rahimo
4 : 0
Bobo-Dioulasso
26 Apr
CFFEB
2 : 1
Bobo-Dioulasso
18 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
1 : 0
Sonabel Ouagadougou
11 Apr
Bobo-Dioulasso
2 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
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Etoile Filante

(Away)
10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
03 May
Etoile Filante
3 : 0
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
18 Apr
Etoile Filante
0 : 1
ASF Dioulasso
12 Apr
Etoile Filante
2 : 0
Majestic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)