Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Boca Unidos vs Bartolome Mitre

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Leoncio Benitez, Corrientes
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Penaloza J.
6' Event
Mendoza L.
10'
Sub
Zarza J. In: Espindola M.
Out: Zarza J.

AI Match Summary

The Torneo Federal game between Boca Unidos and Bartolome Mitre finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boca Unidos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Boca Unidos
30%
Draws
23%
Bartolome Mitre
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boca Unidos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Boca Unidos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Boca Unidos a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Boca Unidos Clean Sheet 68%
Bartolome Mitre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boca Unidos Bartolome Mitre
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.37 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Bartolome Mitre
2:1
Mar 29, 2026 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Boca Unidos
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Bartolome Mitre
2:0
Jun 8, 2025 Torneo Federal
Boca Unidos vs Bartolome Mitre
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
Bartolome Mitre vs Boca Unidos
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boca Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendoza L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bartolome Mitre Compare

Top Goalscorer Penaloza J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boca Unidos 95 / 100
Bartolome Mitre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boca Unidos Bartolome Mitre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boca Unidos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boca Unidos scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Boca Unidos stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Bartolome Mitre's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Boca Unidos VS Bartolome Mitre
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Boca Unidos

(Home)
19 Sept
Boca Unidos
3 : 3
Defensores de Vilelas
13 Sept
El Linqueno
1 : 0
Boca Unidos
06 Sept
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Gimnasia E.R.
29 Aug
Tucuman Central
2 : 2
Boca Unidos
23 Aug
Boca Unidos
1 : 0
Sportivo Las Parejas
Page 1 of 6

Bartolome Mitre

(Away)
20 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 0
San Martin Formosa
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1
Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Sportivo Belgrano
2 : 0
Bartolome Mitre
23 Aug
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 3
Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)