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Boden vs Umea FC Akademi

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Boden play Umea FC Akademi in the Division 2 - Norrland. It looks like a close match. Recently, Boden averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Umea FC Akademi averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.53 conceded. In past meetings, Boden won 3, Umea FC Akademi won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Boden and 1.25 for Umea FC Akademi. This points to a Boden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Boden
28%
Draws
21%
Umea FC Akademi
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Boden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Boden picked up more points recently compared to Umea FC Akademi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 97%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Boden Clean Sheet 19%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 87%
Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boden Umea FC Akademi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Boden
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Umea FC Akademi
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Umea FC Akademi
7:1
Jun 2, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Boden
2:3
Aug 13, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
Boden vs Umea FC Akademi
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boden Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Juneblad M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boden 50 / 100
Umea FC Akademi 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boden Umea FC Akademi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boden or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Boden attacking → ← attacking Umea FC Akademi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boden scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Umea FC Akademi let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Boden went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Umea FC Akademi lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 24
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329