Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bogen vs Ismaning

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between Bogen and Ismaning finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ismaning.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Bogen
20%
Draws
73%
Ismaning
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ismaning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Bogen haven't matched Ismaning's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ismaning's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Bogen Clean Sheet 17%
Ismaning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogen Ismaning
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 6 17
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.87 1.8
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Ismaning
1:2
Oct 22, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs Bogen
1:2
Mar 8, 2014 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs Ismaning
2:2
Aug 14, 2013 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs Bogen
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogen 10 / 100
Ismaning 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogen Ismaning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ismaning Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Ismaning conceded in 78% of 41 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Bogen scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Bogen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ismaning
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogen

(Home)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
Page 1 of 6

Ismaning

(Away)
12 Sept
Ismaning
4 : 2
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
03 Sept
FC Schwaig
2 : 2
Ismaning
28 Aug
SV Erlbach
2 : 0
Ismaning
22 Aug
Ismaning
4 : 0
Kirchanschoring
18 Aug
Gundelfingen
0 : 5
Ismaning
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pullach 34 21 10 3 73:32 73
2 Unterfohring 34 21 6 7 62:42 69
3 Pipinsried 34 18 9 7 55:38 63
4 TSV Schwabmunchen 34 17 9 8 54:43 60
5 Dachau 34 18 6 10 56:49 60
6 Vilzing 34 14 10 10 47:48 52
7 Heimstetten 34 15 7 12 68:52 52
8 Kirchanschoring 34 13 9 12 40:39 48
9 Sonthofen 34 12 11 11 55:44 47
10 Rain/Lech 34 13 7 14 64:58 46
11 Ismaning 34 10 12 12 52:52 42
12 Kottern-St. Mang 34 10 9 15 64:72 39
13 Hankofen-Hailing 34 8 11 15 36:57 35
14 Wolfratshausen 34 10 4 20 44:66 34
15 Landsberg 34 9 7 18 46:65 34
16 Regensburg II 34 10 3 21 53:56 33
17 Bogen 34 8 7 19 34:62 31
18 Gundelfingen 34 6 9 19 39:67 27
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)