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Bognor Regis vs Croydon Athletic

England England

FA Trophy 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bognor Regis in this FA Trophy 2010/2011 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Bognor Regis
15%
Draws
48%
Croydon Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croydon Athletic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Croydon Athletic haven't matched Bognor Regis's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bognor Regis a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Bognor Regis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bognor Regis, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Bognor Regis Clean Sheet 16%
Croydon Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bognor Regis Croydon Athletic
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 5 1
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.57 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.83 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2010 FA Trophy
Bognor Regis vs Croydon Athletic
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bognor Regis 66 / 100
Croydon Athletic 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bognor Regis Croydon Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bognor Regis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bognor Regis scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Croydon Athletic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Bognor Regis remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bognor Regis VS Croydon Athletic
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bognor Regis

(Home)
12 Sept
Hastings
2 : 1
Bognor Regis
29 Aug
Bognor Regis
3 : 0
South Park
01 Aug
Bognor Regis
1 : 1
Chichester City
25 Jul
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 4
Bognor Regis
18 Jul
Sholing
3 : 2
Bognor Regis
Page 1 of 6

Croydon Athletic

(Away)
12 Sept
Croydon Athletic
3 : 0
Raynes Park Vale
05 Sept
Leatherhead
3 : 0
Croydon Athletic
29 Aug
Croydon Athletic
3 : 2
Sevenoaks
01 Aug
Croydon Athletic
1 : 0
Burgess Hill
04 Jul
Folkestone
5 : 2
Croydon Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Darlington FC -
TBD -
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Tamworth -
Histon -
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TBD -
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Bath City -
Eastwood -
TBD -
Daventry 1
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
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TBD -
Rushden -
Harrogate -
TBD -
Radcliffe 2
Witton Albion 4
Corby -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Maidstone 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Carshalton 0
Harlow 2
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon -
Wrexham -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Kidderminster -
Basingstoke -
TBD -
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Lewes -
TBD -
Almondsbury Town 1
Salisbury 2
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford -
TBD -
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TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
Curzon Ashton 2
Halifax 1
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Solihull Moors -
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Altrincham -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
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Bromley -
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TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Hinckley -
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Colwyn Bay 1
United of Manchester 2
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 0
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Droylsden -
Dartford -
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Thurrock -
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TBD -
Crawley Town -
Hornchurch 2
Margate 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Bideford 1
Stortford -
TBD -
Bury Town 1
Ashford Town 2
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Godalming Town 3
Bognor Regis 6
Truro 2
Horsham FC 0
Hendon 1
Sudbury 5
Southport -
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Gateshead -
Luton -
TBD -
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Tonbridge 2
Enfield Town 0
TBD -
Welling -
Lowestoft 4
Chippenham Town 2
Paulton Rovers 4
Swindon Supermarine 5
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Arlesey 4
Uxbridge 6
Boston United -
TBD -
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Gainsborough -
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York City -
Cirencester 2
Weymouth 1
Cinderford Town 1
Grays 2
Chelmsford -
TBD -
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Gloucester City -
Eastbourne Borough -
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TBD -
Romford 3
Totton & Eling 1
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Boreham Wood -
St. Albans -
TBD -
TBD -
Staines -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Stalybridge -
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TBD -
Vauxhall -
Harrogate Railway 2
Romulus 1
Mossley AFC 2
Nantwich 3
Barrow -
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Chorley 3
Marine 1
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Guiseley -
Chasetown 5
Mickleover 2
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Workington -
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Kettering -
Redditch -
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TBD -
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Grimsby -
Worcester -
TBD -
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Nuneaton -
Whitby 3
Clitheroe 1
Glapwell 0
Northwich Victoria 4
Sutton 1
Evesham 0
Banbury 1
Billericay 2
Folkestone 3
Thamesmead 1
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Alfreton -
TBD -
Matlock 2
Kendal 3
Leamington 3
Bamber Bridge 0
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Hyde -
Forest Green -
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Cambridge Utd -
Newport -
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Brackley 4
Windsor & Eton 0
Kingstonian 3
Wealdstone 5
Worksop 2
Lancaster 1
Rugby 2
Stocksbridge 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Mansfield -
1/64-finals
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
Histon -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Eastwood 2
Cambridge City 0
TBD -
Rushden -
Harrogate 3
Witton Albion 2
Corby 1
Telford 2
Woking 2
Dover Ath. 1
Maidstone 0
Harlow 3
Braintree 2
Farnborough 0
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Basingstoke 4
Havant & Waterlooville 3
Lewes 1
Salisbury 3
Blyth Spartans 1
Stafford 0
TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
Curzon Ashton 2
Solihull Moors 1
TBD -
Altrincham -
Ebbsfleet 4
Bromley 0
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading -
Hinckley 2
United of Manchester 1
Stourbridge 2
Droylsden 3
Dartford 2
Thurrock 0
TBD -
Crawley Town -
Hornchurch 3
Bideford 0
Stortford 1
Ashford Town 2
Hampton & Richmond 4
Bognor Regis 2
Truro 1
Sudbury 2
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Luton -
TBD -
Tonbridge 0
Welling 1
Lowestoft 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
Maidenhead 2
Uxbridge 4
Boston United 2
Gainsborough 1
TBD -
York City -
Cirencester 3
Grays 2
Chelmsford 0
Gloucester City 1
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Romford 0
Boreham Wood 3
St. Albans 3
Staines 1
Weston-super-Mare 1
Dorchester 3
Stalybridge 3
Vauxhall 1
Harrogate Railway 3
Nantwich 4
Barrow -
TBD -
Chorley 0
Guiseley 1
Chasetown 4
Workington 0
TBD -
Kettering -
Redditch -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby -
Worcester 2
Nuneaton 1
Whitby 2
Northwich Victoria 3
Sutton 4
Billericay 2
Folkestone 1
Eastleigh 2
Alfreton 4
Kendal 0
Leamington 1
Hyde 2
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Newport -
TBD -
Brackley 0
Wealdstone 1
Worksop 4
Stocksbridge 1
TBD -
Mansfield -
1/32-finals
Darlington FC 3
Tamworth 2
Histon 2
Bath City 3
Eastwood 5
Rushden 4
Harrogate 0
Telford 3
Woking 2
Harlow 0
Braintree 0
AFC Wimbledon 3
Wrexham 2
Kidderminster 0
Basingstoke 0
Salisbury 2
Blyth Spartans 2
Fleetwood Town 0
Curzon Ashton 0
Altrincham 2
Ebbsfleet 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Hinckley 3
Droylsden 4
Dartford 4
Crawley Town 3
Hornchurch 0
Ashford Town 1
Hampton & Richmond 4
Sudbury 1
Southport 2
Gateshead 3
Luton 2
Welling 1
Lowestoft 2
Uxbridge 3
Boston United 1
York City 0
Cirencester 1
Gloucester City 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Boreham Wood 1
St. Albans 0
Dorchester 3
Stalybridge 2
Nantwich 1
Barrow 2
Guiseley 3
Chasetown 5
Kettering 4
Redditch 0
Grimsby 3
Worcester 1
Northwich Victoria 0
Sutton 1
Eastleigh 5
Alfreton 3
Hyde 0
Forest Green 1
Cambridge Utd 2
Newport 1
Wealdstone 0
Worksop 0
Mansfield 5
1/16-finals
Darlington FC 4
Bath City 1
Eastwood 0
Telford 1
Woking 3
AFC Wimbledon 2
Wrexham 0
Salisbury 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Altrincham 1
Ebbsfleet 0
Droylsden 1
Dartford 1
Ashford Town 0
Hampton & Richmond 0
Gateshead 6
Luton 4
Uxbridge 0
Boston United 0
Gloucester City 1
Eastbourne Borough 4
Dorchester 3
Stalybridge 1
Guiseley 2
Chasetown 2
Grimsby 1
Worcester 4
Eastleigh 7
Alfreton 9
Cambridge Utd 6
Newport 2
Mansfield 4
1/8-finals
Darlington FC 3
Telford 0
Woking 0
Salisbury 2
Blyth Spartans 6
Droylsden 2
Dartford 0
Gateshead 3
Luton 1
Gloucester City 0
Eastbourne Borough 2
Guiseley 3
Chasetown 3
Eastleigh 1
Alfreton 2
Mansfield 3
Quarter-finals
Darlington FC 2
Salisbury 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Gateshead 2
Luton 1
Guiseley 0
Chasetown 3
Mansfield 5
Semi-finals
Darlington FC 3
Gateshead 2
Luton 1
Mansfield 2
Final
Darlington FC 1
Mansfield 0