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Bogojina vs Ljutomer

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - East 2016/2017
Bogojina Logo

Bogojina

3 - 2
FT
Ljutomer Logo

Ljutomer

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - East 2016/2017 game between Bogojina and Ljutomer finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bogojina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bogojina
20%
Draws
36%
Ljutomer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bogojina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Ljutomer carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ljutomer taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Bogojina Clean Sheet 20%
Ljutomer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bogojina Ljutomer
Matches Played 32 44
Wins 8 19
Draws 1 11
Losses 23 14
Goals Scored 0.88 2.02
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2018 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Bogojina
3:1
Sep 3, 2017 3. SNL - East
Bogojina vs Ljutomer
2:1
May 28, 2017 3. SNL - East
Ljutomer vs Bogojina
1:0
Nov 13, 2016 3. SNL - East
Bogojina vs Ljutomer
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bogojina 10 / 100
Ljutomer 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bogojina Ljutomer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ljutomer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Bogojina scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Ljutomer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 44 matches.

Recent resilience: Bogojina stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ljutomer
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bogojina

(Home)
18 Sept
Bogojina
0 : 4
Mura
26 May
Bogojina
2 : 1
Radgona
19 May
NK Polana
7 : 2
Bogojina
13 May
Bogojina
1 : 5
Odranci
06 May
NK Carda Martjanci
0 : 1
Bogojina
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Ljutomer

(Away)
19 Sept
Korotan Prevalje
1 : 1
Ljutomer
12 Sept
Ljutomer
1 : 1
NK Ormoz
05 Sept
Hajdina
3 : 1
Ljutomer
29 Aug
Ljutomer
3 : 0
Sampion Celje
22 Aug
Odranci
3 : 1
Ljutomer
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nafta 26 21 2 3 82:17 65
2 Mura 26 20 3 3 100:17 63
3 Odranci 26 19 3 4 56:31 60
4 Beltinci 26 15 4 7 53:24 49
5 Ljutomer 26 13 2 11 48:39 41
6 Tromejnik 26 11 4 11 37:40 37
7 Hotiza 26 10 3 13 41:61 33
8 NK Carda Martjanci 26 8 7 11 39:57 31
9 NK Polana 26 9 3 14 38:53 30
10 Rakican 26 8 4 14 31:61 28
11 Grad 26 7 4 15 26:55 25
12 Bogojina 26 7 4 15 22:65 25
13 Turnisce 26 6 4 16 28:50 22
14 Krizevci 26 3 3 20 23:54 12
Promotion - 2. SNL 2017/2018 (Main)