Sport Picks
Bolivar vs The Strongest
Bolivia
Copa Pacena Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz 
Match Events
3'
3'
Saavedra E.
4'
4'
Arrascaita J.
Assist: Quaglio F.
14'
14'
Romero D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 4-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
30%
38%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: The Strongest
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bolivar come out ahead of The Strongest on wins alone.
- Model gives Bolivar a 32% chance of winning this.
- Bolivar have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Bolivar, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Bolivar Clean Sheet 10%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bolivar | The Strongest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 19 | 18 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 2.26 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Bolivar
1:1
Aug 30, 2026 Copa Pacena
Bolivar vs The Strongest
4:2
Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
The Strongest vs Bolivar
1:1
Feb 6, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Bolivar vs The Strongest
1:0
Jan 30, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
The Strongest vs Bolivar
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bolivar Compare
Top Goalscorer Saavedra E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chavez Cruz L. L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
The Strongest Compare
Top Goalscorer Arrascaita J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sotomayor G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bolivar 47 / 100
The Strongest 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bolivar The Strongest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bolivar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bolivar's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Solid form: Bolivar remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: The Strongest conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Bolivar VS The Strongest
2.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Bolivar
(Home) 20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2 GV San Jose
14 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 2 Bolivar
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2 GV San Jose
11 Sept
Bolivar
1 : 1 Independiente
30 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 2 The Strongest
28 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 1 Academia del Balompie
15 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Page 1 of 3
The Strongest
(Away) 20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1 Bolivar
15 Sept
Academia del Balompie
1 : 2 The Strongest
12 Sept
The Strongest
5 : 0 Real Oruro
09 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 2 The Strongest
06 Sept
The Strongest
3 : 1 Tomayapo
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Academia del Balompie
1 : 2 The Strongest
09 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 2 The Strongest
30 Aug
Bolivar
4 : 2 The Strongest
26 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 3 The Strongest
15 Aug
Guabira
3 : 1 The Strongest
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurora | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Real Potosi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 3 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Academia del Balompie | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional Potosi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 3 | Tomayapo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Oruro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oriente Petrolero | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 2 | The Strongest | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 3 | Guabira | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Independiente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 7 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
