Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bolnisi vs Samtredia

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Odikadze T.
21' Event
Asamoah B.
Assist: Tsnobiladze D.
47' Event
Chachua G.
Assist: Mzwakali B.

AI Match Summary

Bolnisi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolnisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Bolnisi
6%
Draws
4%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bolnisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bolnisi lately — more wins on the board than Samtredia.
  • Win probability leans Bolnisi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 68%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolnisi Samtredia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
3:2
May 2, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Bolnisi
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Bolnisi
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolnisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Asamoah B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chachua G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Odikadze T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolnisi 95 / 100
Samtredia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolnisi Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samtredia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Bolnisi scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Bolnisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bolnisi VS Samtredia
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolnisi

(Home)
18 Jul
Bolnisi
1 : 3
BKMA
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Dusheti
3 : 2
Bolnisi
13 Jun
Bolnisi
2 : 0
Merani Martvili
30 May
Kolkheti 1913
0 : 0
Bolnisi
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Samtredia

(Away)
22 Jun
Bolnisi
3 : 2
Samtredia
17 Jun
Merani Martvili
2 : 1
Samtredia
13 Jun
Samtredia
2 : 2
Kolkheti 1913
30 May
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 2
Samtredia
24 May
Samtredia
0 : 3
Telavi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Gareji Sagarejo19116224:1239
2Telavi19105422:1535
3Merani Martvili1986523:2030
4Shturmi1969417:1427
5Dusheti1974818:2325
6Bolnisi1967625:2025
7Odishi 19191966723:2624
8Kolkheti 19131946924:2418
9Gori1937913:2416
10Samtredia19441125:3616
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)