Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bolnisi vs Samtredia

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Odikadze T.
21' Event
Asamoah B.
Assist: Tsnobiladze D.
47' Event
Chachua G.
Assist: Mzwakali B.

AI Match Summary

Bolnisi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bolnisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Bolnisi
15%
Draws
58%
Samtredia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samtredia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samtredia lately — more wins on the board than Bolnisi.
  • Win probability leans Samtredia's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Bolnisi Clean Sheet 10%
Samtredia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bolnisi Samtredia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
3:2
May 2, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Bolnisi
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samtredia vs Bolnisi
2:1
Aug 31, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Bolnisi vs Samtredia
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bolnisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Asamoah B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chachua G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Samtredia Compare

Top Goalscorer Odikadze T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bolnisi 14 / 100
Samtredia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bolnisi Samtredia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samtredia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Bolnisi found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Samtredia let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Bolnisi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bolnisi VS Samtredia
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bolnisi

(Home)
06 Sept
FC Gareji Sagarejo
3 : 3
Bolnisi
29 Aug
Bolnisi
2 : 1
Telavi
22 Aug
Odishi 1919
0 : 1
Bolnisi
15 Aug
Bolnisi
0 : 1
Shturmi
08 Aug
Gori
4 : 1
Bolnisi
Page 1 of 6

Samtredia

(Away)
07 Sept
Telavi
0 : 3
Samtredia
02 Sept
Samtredia
2 : 0
Iberia 1999
28 Aug
Samtredia
3 : 0
Odishi 1919
22 Aug
Shturmi
0 : 1
Samtredia
15 Aug
Samtredia
1 : 0
Gori
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Gareji Sagarejo 24 13 8 3 32:20 47
2 Telavi 24 11 7 6 25:21 40
3 Shturmi 24 9 9 6 25:22 36
4 Dusheti 24 9 5 10 27:32 32
5 Bolnisi 24 8 8 8 32:29 32
6 Merani Martvili 24 8 7 9 25:27 31
7 Samtredia 24 9 4 11 37:38 31
8 Odishi 1919 24 7 7 10 27:34 28
9 Gori 24 6 7 11 23:30 25
10 Kolkheti 1913 24 5 8 11 31:31 23
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027 (Main)