Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bologna vs Salzburg

Europe Europe

Europa League 2025/2026 Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Odgaard J.
33' Event
Vertessen Y.
43'
Vertessen Y.

AI Match Summary

The Europa League 2025/2026 game between Bologna and Salzburg finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bologna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Bologna
22%
Draws
60%
Salzburg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Salzburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Bologna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Salzburg are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Bologna Clean Sheet 15%
Salzburg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bologna Salzburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2025 Europa League
Bologna vs Salzburg
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bologna Compare

Top Goalscorer Odgaard J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dallinga T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Salzburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Vertessen Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bologna 19 / 100
Salzburg 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bologna Salzburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Bologna scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Salzburg has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Bologna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bologna VS Salzburg
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lyon870118:521
2Aston Villa870114:621
3Midtjylland861118:819
4Betis852113:717
5FC Porto852113:717
6Braga852111:517
7Freiburg852110:417
8AS Roma851213:616
9Genk851211:716
10Bologna843114:715
11VfB Stuttgart850315:915
12Ferencvaros843112:1115
13Nottingham842215:714
14Plzen83508:314
15Crvena zvezda84227:614
16Celta Vigo841315:1113
17PAOK833217:1412
18Lille840412:912
19Fenerbahce833210:712
20Panathinaikos833211:912
21Celtic832313:1511
22Ludogorets831412:1510
23Din. Zagreb831412:1610
24Brann82339:119
25Young Boys830510:169
26Sturm Graz82155:117
27FCSB82159:167
28G.A. Eagles82156:147
29Feyenoord820611:156
30Basel82069:136
31Salzburg820610:156
32Rangers81165:144
33Nice81077:153
34Utrecht80175:151
35Malmo FF80174:151
36Maccabi Tel Aviv80172:221