Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bonaire vs United States Virgin Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cicilia A.
33' Event
Sonnenschein B.

AI Match Summary

Bonaire in this CONCACAF Nations League 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonaire.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Bonaire
44%
Draws
20%
United States Virgin Islands
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bonaire lately — more wins on the board than United States Virgin Islands.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bonaire have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Bonaire Clean Sheet 11%
United States Virgin Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonaire United States Virgin Islands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 0.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
Bonaire vs United States Virgin Islands
2:0
Jun 11, 2022 CONCACAF Nations League
United States Virgin Islands vs Bonaire
0:2
Jun 1, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Bonaire vs United States Virgin Islands
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonaire Compare

Top Goalscorer Cicilia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sonnenschein B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

United States Virgin Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonaire 35 / 100
United States Virgin Islands 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonaire United States Virgin Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Bonaire scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: United States Virgin Islands conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: United States Virgin Islands registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Bonaire VS United States Virgin Islands
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonaire

(Home)
06 Jun
British Virgin Islands
2 : 0
Bonaire
30 Mar
Bonaire
0 : 3
Saint Martin
27 Mar
Bonaire
3 : 1
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
15 Nov
Guyana
2 : 1
Bonaire
12 Nov
Barbados
3 : 2
Bonaire
Page 1 of 6

United States Virgin Islands

(Away)
29 Mar
Puerto Rico
2 : 0
United States Virgin Islands
25 Mar
United States Virgin Islands
5 : 2
American Samoa
15 Nov
Grenada
4 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
14 Aug
United States Virgin Islands
2 : 1
Turks and Caicos Islands
13 Oct
Bahamas
3 : 1
United States Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sint Maarten632119:911
2Bonaire631212:1110
3Turks and Caicos Islands630310:169
4United States Virgin Islands61145:104
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Kitts and Nevis43109:410
2Aruba41125:54
3Saint Martin40222:72
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Lucia44008:212
2Anguilla40222:52
3Dominica40222:52
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Puerto Rico440017:212
2Cayman Islands40223:102
3British Virgin Islands40223:112
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 (League B)