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Bonnyrigg Rose vs Boness United

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2025/2026 New Dundas Park, Bonnyrigg
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AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2025/2026 game between Bonnyrigg Rose and Boness United finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonnyrigg Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Bonnyrigg Rose
11%
Draws
9%
Boness United
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Bonnyrigg Rose carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bonnyrigg Rose a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Lowland League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 12%
Boness United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonnyrigg Rose Boness United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 2.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Boness United
4:0
Sep 30, 2025 Lowland League
Boness United vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:1
Feb 19, 2022 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Boness United
3:0
Aug 21, 2021 Lowland League
Boness United vs Bonnyrigg Rose
1:2
Mar 27, 2021 Lowland League
Bonnyrigg Rose vs Boness United
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonnyrigg Rose 74 / 100
Boness United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonnyrigg Rose Boness United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bonnyrigg Rose found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (28 games).

Boness United let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Bonnyrigg Rose has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bonnyrigg Rose VS Boness United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Home)
25 Jul
Musselburgh
0 : 3
Bonnyrigg Rose
04 Jul
Edinburgh City
1 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
18 Apr
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 2
Linlithgow Rose
11 Apr
Broxburn Athletic
2 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
04 Apr
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 2
Caledonian Braves
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Boness United

(Away)
25 Jul
Boness United
1 : 2
Tranent FC
18 Apr
Berwick
4 : 2
Boness United
11 Apr
Boness United
3 : 2
Cumbernauld Colts
04 Apr
Gala Fairydean Rovers
3 : 1
Boness United
28 Mar
Tranent FC
1 : 1
Boness United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linlithgow Rose34243789:3975
2Clydebank FC34234794:3973
3Bonnyrigg Rose34216779:4269
4Tranent FC34207763:3267
5Caledonian Braves341851175:4859
6Cumbernauld Colts341751272:5356
7Broxburn Athletic341571268:6152
8Berwick341471362:6849
9Boness United341461461:5648
10Celtic B3412101273:7146
11Cowdenbeath341291351:5345
12Gala Fairydean Rovers341321952:6641
13Albion Rovers341231948:7139
14Civil Service Strollers341151840:7938
15Stirling University34971855:8234
16Hearts B34781942:7829
17Gretna 200834772050:9028
18East Stirlingshire34532648:9418
Promotion - Highland League 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)