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Bonsucesso vs Perolas Negras

Brazil Brazil

Carioca 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Caxito
13' Event
Bruno Azevedo
18' Event
Leo Pedro

AI Match Summary

Bonsucesso in this Carioca 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bonsucesso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Bonsucesso
20%
Draws
38%
Perolas Negras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bonsucesso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bonsucesso lately — more wins on the board than Perolas Negras.
  • Win probability leans Bonsucesso's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 68%
Perolas Negras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bonsucesso Perolas Negras
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Carioca 2
Bonsucesso vs Perolas Negras
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bonsucesso Compare

Top Goalscorer Caxito
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Azevedo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Perolas Negras Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Araujo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bonsucesso 51 / 100
Perolas Negras 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bonsucesso Perolas Negras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Bonsucesso scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Perolas Negras let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Bonsucesso has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Bonsucesso VS Perolas Negras
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Bonsucesso

(Home)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
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Perolas Negras

(Away)
22 Jul
Marica
3 : 0
Perolas Negras
15 Jul
Perolas Negras
0 : 0
Marica
04 Jul
Marica
2 : 0
Perolas Negras
27 Jun
Cabofriense
1 : 2
Perolas Negras
23 Jun
Perolas Negras
5 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Americano1181218:925
2Marica1173111:724
3Resende1154216:919
4America RJ1151518:1416
5Perolas Negras1151511:1516
6Sao Goncalo1142511:1014
7Bonsucesso1142510:1114
8Olaria1134411:1113
9Cabofriense1133512:1312
10CEAC/Araruama1132611:1511
11Serrano FC1125410:1811
12Audax RJ1130810:179
Promotion - Carioca 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B1 (Main)