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Boreham Wood vs Leicester U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 Meadow Park, Borehamwood
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Richardson L.
Assist: Booty R.
17' Event
Gray K.
Assist: Otchere K.
19' Event
Evans J.

AI Match Summary

Boreham Wood in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Boreham Wood
20%
Draws
6%
Leicester U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boreham Wood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Leicester U21 haven't matched Boreham Wood's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Boreham Wood's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Boreham Wood have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Boreham Wood, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Boreham Wood Clean Sheet 20%
Leicester U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boreham Wood Leicester U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 4
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 2.54 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Boreham Wood vs Leicester U21
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Boreham Wood Compare

Top Goalscorer Richardson L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Norris L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Leicester U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gray K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Evans J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boreham Wood 85 / 100
Leicester U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boreham Wood Leicester U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Boreham Wood Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boreham Wood's goal record stands at 96% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Leicester U21 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Boreham Wood remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Boreham Wood VS Leicester U21
2.88 Goals Scored 0.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 57%
100% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Boreham Wood

(Home)
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1
Harrogate
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Boreham Wood
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Carlisle
Page 1 of 6

Leicester U21

(Away)
18 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 0
West Ham U21
11 Sept
Brighton U21
3 : 0
Leicester U21
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1
Leicester U21
04 Sept
Leicester U21
0 : 1
Bournemouth U21
31 Aug
Manchester United U21
4 : 1
Leicester U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)