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Borgaro vs Lavagnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Brunod M.
42' Event
Lupinacci M.
62'
Taraschi P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Borgaro and Lavagnese finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lavagnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Borgaro
15%
Draws
12%
Lavagnese
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borgaro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Borgaro have managed 0.83 goals a game lately — Lavagnese are scoring more at 1.
  • Borgaro are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Lavagnese have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Borgaro Clean Sheet 20%
Lavagnese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borgaro Lavagnese
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 10
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 0.83 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Lavagnese
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Borgaro
3:0
Apr 28, 2019 Serie D - Group A
Borgaro vs Lavagnese
1:2
Dec 16, 2018 Serie D - Group A
Lavagnese vs Borgaro
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borgaro Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunod M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Lavagnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Lupinacci M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mutton C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borgaro 42 / 100
Lavagnese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borgaro Lavagnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lavagnese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Borgaro scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Lavagnese lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lavagnese
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Borgaro

(Home)
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 0
Bra
17 Apr
Chisola
1 : 2
Borgaro
13 Apr
Borgaro
1 : 2
Lavagnese
06 Apr
NovaRomentin
8 : 2
Borgaro
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Lavagnese

(Away)
03 May
Lavagnese
2 : 3
Varese FC
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Valenzana
2 : 0
Lavagnese
12 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 2
Vado
02 Apr
Gozzano
0 : 0
Lavagnese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)