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Borneo vs Bali United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Sub
Teguh K. In: Marasabessy M.
Out: Teguh K.
32'
Wilson B.
35'
Marasabessy M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Borneo and Bali United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Borneo
15%
Draws
42%
Bali United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Borneo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Borneo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Borneo Clean Sheet 19%
Bali United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borneo Bali United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.9 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
1:0
May 11, 2026 Super League
Bali United vs Borneo
2:3
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
0:1
Jan 28, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Borneo
3:2
Aug 27, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borneo 31 / 100
Bali United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borneo Bali United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Borneo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borneo scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Bali United let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Bali United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Borneo VS Bali United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Borneo

(Home)
20 Sept
Borneo
1 : 0
Bali United
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
12 Sept
Persijap Jepara
0 : 1
Borneo
05 Sept
Borneo
0 : 1
Persija Jakarta
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3
Madura United
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Bali United

(Away)
20 Sept
Borneo
1 : 0
Bali United
12 Sept
Bali United
4 : 1
Isenmulang Kalteng
04 Sept
Bali United
2 : 1
PSS Sleman
18 Aug
Persib Bandung
3 : 2
Bali United
13 Aug
Bali United
1 : 2
Sabah
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Madura United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 8:4 5
8 FC Bhayangkara 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
9 Persita 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
10 Persebaya 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)