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Borneo vs Bali United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
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Match Events

21'
Sub
Teguh K. In: Marasabessy M.
Out: Teguh K.
32'
Wilson B.
35'
Marasabessy M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Borneo and Bali United finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Borneo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Borneo
20%
Draws
45%
Bali United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bali United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Borneo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bali United a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Borneo Clean Sheet 10%
Bali United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borneo Bali United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.97 2.4
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
1:0
May 11, 2026 Super League
Bali United vs Borneo
2:3
Nov 30, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
0:1
Jan 28, 2025 Super League
Bali United vs Borneo
3:2
Aug 27, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Bali United
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borneo 10 / 100
Bali United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borneo Bali United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bali United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Borneo scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Bali United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Borneo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Borneo VS Bali United
1.13 Goals Scored 3.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Borneo

(Home)
07 Nov
Borneo
1 : 1
PSM Makassar
01 Nov
PSIM Yogyakarta
2 : 1
Borneo
27 Oct
PSS Sleman
1 : 2
Borneo
21 Oct
Taiwan Steel
1 : 3
Borneo
18 Oct
Borneo
2 : 0
Yangon United
Page 1 of 6

Bali United

(Away)
08 Nov
Bali United
3 : 0
Persik Kediri
04 Nov
Balikpapan
1 : 6
Bali United
31 Oct
Arema FC
1 : 3
Bali United
25 Oct
Persita
1 : 1
Bali United
21 Oct
Bali United
5 : 0
Garudayaksa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persija Jakarta 9 7 0 2 19:8 21
2 Dewa United 9 6 2 1 16:12 20
3 Bali United 9 6 1 2 26:9 19
4 Madura United 9 6 1 2 16:10 19
5 Persib Bandung 9 5 1 3 16:10 16
6 Persita 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
7 Java United 9 4 3 2 14:11 13
8 Persebaya 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
9 FC Bhayangkara 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
10 Garudayaksa 9 3 2 4 12:16 11
11 Borneo 8 3 1 4 8:10 10
12 PSM Makassar 9 2 4 3 10:14 10
13 Persik Kediri 9 3 1 5 9:14 10
14 Arema FC 9 2 3 4 17:20 9
15 Isenmulang Kalteng 9 2 2 5 4:16 6
16 PSS Sleman 9 1 2 6 12:17 5
17 PSIM Yogyakarta 9 1 2 6 6:14 5
18 Persijap Jepara 9 0 2 7 5:18 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)