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Borneo vs Dewa United

Indonesia Indonesia

Super League Stadion Batakan, Balikpapan
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Johnathan
49' Event
Zikrak I.
Assist: Diarra M.
53'
Sub
Febriansyah E. In: Ballah A.
Out: Febriansyah E.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Borneo and Dewa United finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dewa United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Borneo
15%
Draws
53%
Dewa United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dewa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Borneo come out ahead of Dewa United on wins alone.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Borneo Clean Sheet 18%
Dewa United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Borneo Dewa United
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 16
Draws 4 6
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Super League
Borneo vs Dewa United
1:3
Feb 22, 2026 Super League
Dewa United vs Borneo
2:1
Nov 5, 2025 Super League
Borneo vs Dewa United
4:0
Mar 10, 2025 Super League
Dewa United vs Borneo
0:1
Nov 2, 2024 Super League
Borneo vs Dewa United
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Borneo Compare

Top Goalscorer Zikrak I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Dewa United Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnathan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Deni Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Borneo 32 / 100
Dewa United 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Borneo Dewa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dewa United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Borneo scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Dewa United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Borneo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Borneo VS Dewa United
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Borneo

(Home)
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
12 Sept
Persijap Jepara
0 : 1
Borneo
05 Sept
Borneo
0 : 1
Persija Jakarta
26 Aug
Borneo
1 : 3
Madura United
23 May
Borneo
7 : 1
Java United
Page 1 of 6

Dewa United

(Away)
16 Sept
Borneo
1 : 3
Dewa United
11 Sept
Dewa United
2 : 2
FC Bhayangkara
05 Sept
Persik Kediri
0 : 1
Dewa United
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
22 May
Dewa United
0 : 1
Bali United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
2 Madura United 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
3 Persija Jakarta 3 3 0 0 4:1 9
4 Borneo 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
5 Persib Bandung 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
6 Bali United 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
7 Arema FC 3 1 2 0 8:4 5
8 FC Bhayangkara 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
9 Persita 3 1 2 0 6:5 5
10 Persebaya 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
11 Persik Kediri 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
12 PSM Makassar 3 0 2 1 6:8 2
13 Garudayaksa 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
14 PSIM Yogyakarta 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
15 PSS Sleman 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
16 Persijap Jepara 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
17 Java United 3 0 1 2 3:5 -1
18 Isenmulang Kalteng 3 0 0 3 1:10 -2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Qualification)