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Boston City vs Valeriodoce

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Valeriodoce in this Mineiro 3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Valeriodoce.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Boston City
30%
Draws
37%
Valeriodoce
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Valeriodoce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Boston City haven't matched Valeriodoce's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Valeriodoce a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Valeriodoce have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Boston City Clean Sheet 16%
Valeriodoce Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Boston City Valeriodoce
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 14
Draws 7 13
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.07 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2023 Mineiro 3
Boston City vs Valeriodoce
0:1
Sep 10, 2023 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Boston City
1:0
Aug 28, 2022 Mineiro 3
Valeriodoce vs Boston City
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Boston City 23 / 100
Valeriodoce 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Boston City Valeriodoce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valeriodoce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Boston City found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Valeriodoce conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Boston City VS Valeriodoce
1.17 Goals Scored 1.13
1.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Boston City

(Home)
11 Oct
Serranense
0 : 1
Boston City
06 Oct
Boston City
3 : 2
Novo Esporte
26 Sept
Inter de Minas
3 : 0
Boston City
21 Sept
Boston City
2 : 2
Uniao Luziense
13 Sept
Tupi-MG
2 : 1
Boston City
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Valeriodoce

(Away)
26 Jul
Valeriodoce
0 : 1
Villa Nova AC
18 Jul
Villa Nova AC
1 : 1
Valeriodoce
12 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Villa Nova AC
05 Jul
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Valeriodoce
01 Jul
Valeriodoce
1 : 0
Democrata SL
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)