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Botafogo PB vs Fluminense-PI

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao), Joao Pessoa
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Danilo de Assis da Silva
25'
Rhuan Wallace
41'
Igor Maduro

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Botafogo PB
20%
Draws
29%
Fluminense-PI
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Botafogo PB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Botafogo PB have won more games recently than Fluminense-PI.
  • Botafogo PB are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Botafogo PB have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%
Fluminense-PI Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botafogo PB Fluminense-PI
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Botafogo PB vs Fluminense-PI
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique Dourado
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Fluminense-PI Compare

Top Goalscorer Thauan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botafogo PB 86 / 100
Fluminense-PI 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botafogo PB Fluminense-PI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botafogo PB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Botafogo PB scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Fluminense-PI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Botafogo PB went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botafogo PB VS Fluminense-PI
1.63 Goals Scored 0.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Botafogo PB

(Home)
12 Sept
Botafogo PB
0 : 1
Floresta EC
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
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Fluminense-PI

(Away)
27 Jun
America RN
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
20 Jun
Fluminense-PI
0 : 3
America RN
13 Jun
Ferroviario
1 : 0
Fluminense-PI
31 May
Fluminense-PI
1 : 1
AE Altos
23 May
Piaui
0 : 1
Fluminense-PI
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