Sport Picks
Botafogo SP vs America MG
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto 
AI Match Summary
Botafogo SP host America MG in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Botafogo SP have averaged 1.13 scored and 0.88 conceded recently, against America MG's 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Botafogo SP slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 1, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.81) point toward Botafogo SP. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Botafogo SP carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Botafogo SP a 70% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botafogo SP | America MG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
America MG's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Botafogo SP stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Botafogo SP's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Botafogo SP
(Home)America MG
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 40 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:25 | 35 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 34 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 33 |
| 6 | Fortaleza | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 31 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 31 |
| 8 | CRB | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Goias | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | 29 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 28 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:23 | 27 |
| 13 | Nautico | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 25 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 16 | Ceara | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:25 | 22 |
| 17 | Londrina | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | 20 |
| 18 | Avai | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 20 |
| 19 | America MG | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15:39 | 9 |
