Sport Picks
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Santa Cruz, Ribeirao Preto 
Match Events
42'
42'
Everton Morelli
Assist: Patrick Brey
46'
46'
Sub
Junior Todinho In: Victor Andrade
Out: Junior Todinho
46'
46'
Sub
Matheus Ribeiro In: Reginaldo
Out: Matheus Ribeiro
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Botafogo SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nautico lately — more wins on the board than Botafogo SP.
- Win probability leans Botafogo SP's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Botafogo SP Clean Sheet 68%
Nautico Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Botafogo SP | Nautico |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 14 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
1:1
Dec 13, 2020 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
1:1
Sep 12, 2020 Serie B
Nautico vs Botafogo SP
3:1
Sep 3, 2002 Serie B
Botafogo SP vs Nautico
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Botafogo SP Compare
Top Goalscorer Everton Morelli
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Nautico Compare
Top Goalscorer Victor Andrade
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Botafogo SP 77 / 100
Nautico 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Botafogo SP Nautico
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Nautico has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.25 goals.
Botafogo SP went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Botafogo SP scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Botafogo SP VS Nautico
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Botafogo SP
(Home) 29 Jul
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Botafogo SP
24 Jul
Botafogo SP
4 : 2 EC Juventude
18 Jul
Londrina
0 : 0 Botafogo SP
10 Jul
Sport Recife
3 : 3 Botafogo SP
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1 Avai
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Botafogo SP
4 : 2 EC Juventude
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1 Avai
30 Jun
Botafogo SP
0 : 1 CRB
14 Jun
Botafogo SP
2 : 1 Operario-PR
25 May
Botafogo SP
1 : 2 Athletic Club
Page 1 of 3
Nautico
(Away) 26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0 Nautico
23 Jul
Nautico
2 : 1 Londrina
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1 Nautico
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0 Nautico
05 Jul
Nautico
0 : 0 EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0 Nautico
16 Jul
CRB
2 : 1 Nautico
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0 Nautico
20 Jun
Vila Nova FC
4 : 3 Nautico
14 Jun
Novorizontino
2 : 2 Nautico
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 40 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:25 | 35 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 34 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 34 |
| 6 | Novorizontino | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 33 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 31 |
| 8 | CRB | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Goias | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | 29 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 28 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:23 | 27 |
| 13 | Nautico | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 25 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 24 |
| 16 | Ceara | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:25 | 22 |
| 17 | Londrina | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | 20 |
| 18 | Avai | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 20 |
| 19 | America MG | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15:39 | 9 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
