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Botev Ihtiman vs Chavdar Etropole

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2023/2024
Wed, May 1, 2024
3 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Botev Ihtiman host Chavdar Etropole in the Third League - South-West 2023/2024. Botev Ihtiman go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Botev Ihtiman at 1.55 goals for, 1.24 against; Chavdar Etropole at 0.6 for, 2.63 against. Head-to-head, Botev Ihtiman have won 2 to Chavdar Etropole's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 2.13 vs 1.06, favoring Botev Ihtiman. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Botev Ihtiman
15%
Draws
21%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Botev Ihtiman lately — more wins on the board than Chavdar Etropole.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Botev Ihtiman taking it.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 4
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.55 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Botev Ihtiman
1:4
May 1, 2024 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Chavdar Etropole
3:0
Nov 8, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Feb 25, 2023 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Botev Ihtiman
3:1
Sep 30, 2022 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Chavdar Etropole
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 85 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Etropole let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Botev Ihtiman found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Botev Ihtiman has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Chavdar Etropole
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 2
Natsional Sofia
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
29 Aug
Kyustendil
3 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
22 Aug
Chavdar Etropole
4 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Minyor Pernik 38 31 4 3 78:29 97
2 CSKA Sofia II 38 25 5 8 68:39 80
3 Botev Ihtiman 38 20 7 11 70:52 67
4 Vihren 38 20 6 12 66:46 66
5 Slivnishki Geroy 38 16 10 12 52:47 58
6 Levski Sofia II 38 16 8 14 61:51 56
7 Rilski Sportist 38 16 4 18 58:61 52
8 Balkan Botevgrad 38 13 11 14 63:62 50
9 CSKA 1948 Sofia III 38 14 7 17 57:55 49
10 Bansko 38 13 9 16 50:54 48
11 Septemvri Sofia 2 38 13 9 16 50:46 48
12 Bistritsa 38 12 11 15 30:35 47
13 Kyustendil 38 12 10 16 53:54 46
14 Slavia Sofia 2 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
15 Oborishte Panagyurishte 38 13 7 18 58:75 46
16 Septemvri Simitli 38 10 15 13 48:50 45
17 Pirin Razlog 38 13 6 19 38:55 45
18 Kostinbrod 38 11 10 17 40:63 43
19 Hebar 2 38 9 6 23 35:63 33
20 Chavdar Etropole 38 13 2 23 46:74 41
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