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Botev Ihtiman vs Germaneya

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2018/2019 game between Botev Ihtiman and Germaneya finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Botev Ihtiman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Botev Ihtiman
15%
Draws
28%
Germaneya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Botev Ihtiman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Botev Ihtiman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Botev Ihtiman's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 18%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Ihtiman Germaneya
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.48 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Germaneya
1:2
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Botev Ihtiman
4:3
Mar 2, 2019 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Germaneya
3:2
Aug 18, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Apr 21, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Botev Ihtiman
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Ihtiman 85 / 100
Germaneya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Ihtiman Germaneya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Botev Ihtiman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Germaneya conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Botev Ihtiman scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Germaneya's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Botev Ihtiman VS Germaneya
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Ihtiman

(Home)
22 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
08 Aug
Slivnishki Geroy
2 : 3
Botev Ihtiman
02 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
15 Jul
Svoge
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
Page 1 of 7

Germaneya

(Away)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd Kyustendil 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
Promotion - Vtora liga 2019/2020 (Main)