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Botev Novi Pazar vs Fratria II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Botev Novi Pazar and Fratria II finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Botev Novi Pazar
17%
Draws
13%
Fratria II
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Botev Novi Pazar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Botev Novi Pazar's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Fratria II have produced (1.5).
  • Win probability leans Botev Novi Pazar's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Botev Novi Pazar Clean Sheet 16%
Fratria II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Botev Novi Pazar Fratria II
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Fratria II
3:3
Mar 30, 2025 Third League - North-East
Botev Novi Pazar vs Fratria II
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Third League - North-East
Fratria II vs Botev Novi Pazar
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Botev Novi Pazar 66 / 100
Fratria II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Botev Novi Pazar Fratria II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fratria II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Botev Novi Pazar's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Fratria II registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Botev Novi Pazar VS Fratria II
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Botev Novi Pazar

(Home)
30 May
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
23 May
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
16 May
Fratria II
3 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
13 May
Botev Novi Pazar
1 : 0
FK Riltzi
09 May
Benkovski
4 : 1
Botev Novi Pazar
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Fratria II

(Away)
30 May
Fratria II
0 : 7
Volov Shumen
24 May
Aksakovo
3 : 1
Fratria II
16 May
Fratria II
3 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
13 May
Svetkavitsa 2014
2 : 0
Fratria II
09 May
Fratria II
0 : 4
Septemvri Tervel
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291
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