Sport Picks
Match Events
79'
79'
Mazhoud A.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 game between Bouchamma and Gafsa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bouchamma.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bouchamma
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gafsa have managed 0.88 goals a game lately — Bouchamma are scoring more at 1.75.
- Bouchamma are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 68%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bouchamma | Gafsa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 17, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Gafsa
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Bouchamma
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bouchamma Compare
Top Goalscorer Mazhoud A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Gafsa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bouchamma 86 / 100
Gafsa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bouchamma Gafsa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bouchamma's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Gafsa let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Bouchamma remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Bouchamma VS Gafsa
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Bouchamma
(Home) 12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1 Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2 Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
22 Apr
Jendouba Sport
2 : 1 Bouchamma
11 Apr
Bouchamma
4 : 1 Ksour Essef
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1 Korba
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0 Ariana
11 Apr
Bouchamma
4 : 1 Ksour Essef
29 Mar
Bouchamma
1 : 2 Stade Gabesien
21 Feb
Bouchamma
1 : 4 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 4
Gafsa
(Away) 12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2 Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0 Jendouba Sport
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
11 Apr
Gafsa
0 : 0 Redeyef
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1 Gafsa
19 Apr
Ksour Essef
4 : 2 Gafsa
05 Apr
Stade Gabesien
2 : 1 Gafsa
27 Feb
PS Sakiet Eddaier
3 : 0 Gafsa
15 Feb
Kalaa
4 : 1 Gafsa
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
