Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bouchamma vs Gafsa Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Mazhoud A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between Bouchamma and Gafsa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bouchamma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Bouchamma
20%
Draws
33%
Gafsa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bouchamma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Gafsa have managed 1.03 goals a game lately — Bouchamma are scoring more at 1.28.
  • Bouchamma are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Bouchamma Clean Sheet 68%
Gafsa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bouchamma Gafsa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Ligue 2
Bouchamma vs Gafsa
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Gafsa vs Bouchamma
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bouchamma Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazhoud A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Gafsa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bouchamma 77 / 100
Gafsa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bouchamma Gafsa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bouchamma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bouchamma's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Gafsa let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Bouchamma remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Bouchamma VS Gafsa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bouchamma

(Home)
04 Oct
Redeyef
3 : 0
Bouchamma
27 Sept
Bouchamma
1 : 0
Korba
12 May
Bouchamma
1 : 1
Korba
02 May
Sidi Bouzid
0 : 2
Bouchamma
28 Apr
Bouchamma
5 : 0
Ariana
Page 1 of 6

Gafsa

(Away)
04 Oct
Korba
3 : 0
Gafsa
27 Sept
Gafsa
1 : 2
Kasserine
12 May
Gafsa
5 : 2
Sidi Bouzid
02 May
Ariana
1 : 1
Gafsa
28 Apr
Gafsa
1 : 0
Jendouba Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)